La escuela de los momiosJuventude v Ponte Preta
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Juventude (Local)
Predicción 66.82%1.50momio equitativo
EV +0.235%
Ventaja +0.157%
Kelly +0.471%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.52%66.63%66.86%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.371.371.5076.92%72.90%72.99%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ponte Preta (Visitante)
Predicción 11.09%9.02momio equitativo
EV +10.88%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.132%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.24%11.10%11.11%14.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.508.278.2510.0015.38%12.09%12.12%10.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.09%4.53momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -0.384%
Kelly -0.495%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.27%22.27%22.04%24.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.134.104.4527.78%24.24%24.39%22.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.20%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +10.88%E +1.09%K +1.21%G +0.132% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.44%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +10.88%E +1.09%K +1.21%G +0.132% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.89%EV -7.12%E -5.12%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 9.99I 10.01%NM 9.59%EV +10.77%E +1.08%K +1.20%G +0.129% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -1.71%E -0.384%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.01%EV -7.12%E -5.12%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.80%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-14 13:49 |
| BetUS | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.80%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.78%EV -13.13%E -10.10%K -43.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-14 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.78%EV -4.64%E -0.540%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.53%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.25%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -20.48%E -5.69%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.03%EV -6.86%E -0.816%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.13%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.95%EV -6.86%E -0.816%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.27%EV -8.52%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.59%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-14 13:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 13:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.92%EV -10.46%E -7.80%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.92%EV -10.46%E -7.80%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.05%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -14.06%E -1.81%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.76%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.70%EV -14.06%E -1.81%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -14.96%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -16.84%E -2.24%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -17.17%E -4.58%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Betsson | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV +0.235%E +0.157%K +0.471%G +0.001% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -27.93%E -4.30%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-14 07:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.15% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19% | 0.4% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.70% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.36% | 1.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |