Die Schule der Quoten

Juventude v Ponte Preta

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-14 14:00 UTC

Endstand: Juventude 3–0 Ponte Preta

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

45 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Juventude (Heim)

Prognose 66.82%1.50faire Quote
EV +0.235%
Vorteil +0.157%
Kelly +0.471%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
61.52%66.63%66.86%69.44%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.301.371.371.5076.92%72.90%72.99%66.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Ponte Preta (Auswärts)

Prognose 11.09%9.02faire Quote
EV +10.88%
Vorteil +1.09%
Kelly +1.21%
Wachstum +0.132%

bei einer Höchstquote von 10.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.24%11.10%11.11%14.20%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
6.508.278.2510.0015.38%12.09%12.12%10.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 22.09%4.53faire Quote
EV -1.71%
Vorteil -0.384%
Kelly -0.495%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.27%22.27%22.04%24.28%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.604.134.104.4527.78%24.24%24.39%22.47%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (45 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.20%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +10.88%E +1.09%K +1.21%G +0.132%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 13:50
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.44%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +10.88%E +1.09%K +1.21%G +0.132%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 13:40
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 68.89%EV -7.12%E -5.12%K -18.24%G +0.000%9.99I 10.01%NM 9.59%EV +10.77%E +1.08%K +1.20%G +0.129%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -1.71%E -0.384%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 13:50
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.01%EV -7.12%E -5.12%K -18.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:40
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 68.33%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.81%E -0.639%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 67.80%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-14 13:49
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 67.80%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 68.78%EV -13.13%E -10.10%K -43.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -0.204%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-14 13:49
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.78%EV -4.64%E -0.540%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 13:50
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 13:30
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.02%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-14 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.53%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.25%EV -5.75%E -0.676%K -0.766%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -20.48%E -5.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-14 13:50
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.16%EV -7.78%E -5.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.03%EV -6.86%E -0.816%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.13%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 13:40
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.84%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.95%EV -6.86%E -0.816%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 13:40
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.17%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.27%EV -8.52%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 13:30
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-14 13:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 13:40
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 13:40
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 13:40
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 66.59%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-14 13:44
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-14 13:29
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-14 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.92%EV -10.46%E -7.80%K -30.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 13:50
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 66.92%EV -10.46%E -7.80%K -30.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 13:50
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-14 13:50
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-14 13:50
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-14 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 66.89%EV -11.79%E -8.93%K -36.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -11.29%E -1.41%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-14 13:50
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.05%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -14.06%E -1.81%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 13:30
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.76%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.70%EV -14.06%E -1.81%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -14.96%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-14 13:30
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -6.45%E -4.60%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -16.84%E -2.24%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -17.17%E -4.58%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-14 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -22.38%E -3.20%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV +0.235%E +0.157%K +0.471%G +0.001%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -27.93%E -4.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-14 07:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 70.15%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%0.4%2026-06-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.87%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.70%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.36%1.8%2026-06-14 13:50