Language:English
Fortaleza v Juventude
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fortaleza (Local)
Prediction 50.36%1.99fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -4.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.83%50.52%50.28%53.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.831.9158.82%55.19%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juventude (Visit)
Prediction 20.82%4.80fair odd
EV +2.42%
Edge +0.492%
Kelly +0.618%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 4.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.78%20.74%20.86%22.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.454.504.9225.00%22.48%22.22%20.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.82%3.47fair odd
EV -0.577%
Edge -0.167%
Kelly -0.236%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.17%28.74%28.86%30.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.233.203.4534.72%30.93%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fortaleza (Local): 50.36%; Juventude (Visit): 20.82%; Draw: 28.82%. For Juventude (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.80. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.10%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.53%EV +2.42%E +0.492%K +0.618%G +0.015% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.38%EV -5.76%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -14.38%E -8.46%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -0.075%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 18:43 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 18:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.34%EV -10.35%E -5.82%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.02%E -0.594%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -11.86%E -6.78%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -5.28%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -12.37%E -7.11%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.61%EV -12.87%E -7.44%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.15%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.36%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.15%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.36%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.28%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -9.44%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -10.09%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 13:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -11.86%E -6.78%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 18:33 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.70%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%EV -10.48%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -9.22%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -10.48%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-04 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.53%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.86%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -10.09%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -12.87%E -7.44%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -17.00%E -5.90%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-04-04 18:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.87% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |