Die Schule der Quoten

Fortaleza v Juventude

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-04 19:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

45 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Fortaleza (Heim)

Prognose 50.36%1.99faire Quote
EV -3.80%
Vorteil -1.99%
Kelly -4.18%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.91

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
48.83%50.52%50.28%53.04%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.701.811.831.9158.82%55.19%54.64%52.36%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Juventude (Auswärts)

Prognose 20.82%4.80faire Quote
EV +2.42%
Vorteil +0.492%
Kelly +0.618%
Wachstum +0.015%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.92

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.78%20.74%20.86%22.34%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.004.454.504.9225.00%22.48%22.22%20.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 28.82%3.47faire Quote
EV -0.577%
Vorteil -0.167%
Kelly -0.236%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.17%28.74%28.86%30.13%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.883.233.203.4534.72%30.93%31.25%28.99%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (45 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.10%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.53%EV +2.42%E +0.492%K +0.618%G +0.015%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.38%EV -5.76%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 18:35
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -14.38%E -8.46%K -20.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -0.075%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 18:44
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 18:35
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 18:34
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:43
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 18:54
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:45
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.34%EV -10.35%E -5.82%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.02%E -0.594%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 18:34
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -11.86%E -6.78%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 18:30
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -5.28%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -12.37%E -7.11%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 18:29
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 52.61%EV -12.87%E -7.44%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 18:29
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 18:45
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 18:29
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 18:29
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 18:29
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.15%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.36%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:40
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.15%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.36%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:39
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:34
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:40
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 18:34
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.28%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -9.44%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -10.09%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:29
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:34
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:40
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:34
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:34
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -11.86%E -6.78%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 18:33
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.70%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%EV -10.48%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -9.22%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:40
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -10.48%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 18:35
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.53%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 18:34
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 18:40
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 18:39
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 49.86%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -10.09%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:39
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:39
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -12.87%E -7.44%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -17.00%E -5.90%K -9.04%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-04 18:44
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-04 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-04-04 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-04-04 18:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-04-04 18:55
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.87%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60%2.4%2026-04-04 18:55