Szkoła Kursów

Fortaleza v Juventude

Początek: 2026-04-04 19:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

45 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Fortaleza (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 50.36%1.99kurs godziwy
EV -3.80%
Przewaga -1.99%
Kelly -4.18%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.91

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
48.83%50.52%50.28%53.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.701.811.831.9158.82%55.19%54.64%52.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Juventude (Goście)

Prognoza 20.82%4.80kurs godziwy
EV +2.42%
Przewaga +0.492%
Kelly +0.618%
Wzrost +0.015%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.92

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.78%20.74%20.86%22.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.454.504.9225.00%22.48%22.22%20.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.82%3.47kurs godziwy
EV -0.577%
Przewaga -0.167%
Kelly -0.236%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.45

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.17%28.74%28.86%30.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.233.203.4534.72%30.93%31.25%28.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (45 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.10%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.53%EV +2.42%E +0.492%K +0.618%G +0.015%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.38%EV -5.76%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 18:35
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -14.38%E -8.46%K -20.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -0.075%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 18:44
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 18:35
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 18:34
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:43
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 18:54
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:45
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.34%EV -10.35%E -5.82%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.02%E -0.594%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 18:34
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -11.86%E -6.78%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 18:30
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -5.28%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -12.37%E -7.11%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 18:29
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 52.61%EV -12.87%E -7.44%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 18:29
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 18:45
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 18:29
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 18:29
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 18:29
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.15%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.36%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:40
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.15%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.36%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:39
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:34
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:40
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 18:34
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.28%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -9.44%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -10.09%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:29
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:34
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:40
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:34
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:34
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -11.86%E -6.78%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 18:33
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.70%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%EV -10.48%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -9.22%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:40
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -10.48%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 18:35
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.53%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 18:34
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 18:40
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 18:39
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 49.86%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -10.09%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:39
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:39
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -12.87%E -7.44%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -17.00%E -5.90%K -9.04%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-04 18:44
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-04 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-04-04 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-04-04 18:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-04-04 18:55
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.87%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60%2.4%2026-04-04 18:55