Oddsskolan

Fortaleza v Juventude

Matchstart: 2026-04-04 19:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Fortaleza (Hemma)

Prognos 50.36%1.99rättvist odds
EV -3.80%
Fördel -1.99%
Kelly -4.18%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.91

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
48.83%50.52%50.28%53.04%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.701.811.831.9158.82%55.19%54.64%52.36%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Juventude (Borta)

Prognos 20.82%4.80rättvist odds
EV +2.42%
Fördel +0.492%
Kelly +0.618%
Tillväxt +0.015%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.92

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.78%20.74%20.86%22.34%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
4.004.454.504.9225.00%22.48%22.22%20.33%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.82%3.47rättvist odds
EV -0.577%
Fördel -0.167%
Kelly -0.236%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.17%28.74%28.86%30.13%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.883.233.203.4534.72%30.93%31.25%28.99%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.10%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.53%EV +2.42%E +0.492%K +0.618%G +0.015%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.38%EV -5.76%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 18:35
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -14.38%E -8.46%K -20.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -0.075%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 18:44
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 18:35
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 18:34
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:43
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 18:54
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:45
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.34%EV -10.35%E -5.82%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.02%E -0.594%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 18:34
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -11.86%E -6.78%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 18:30
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -5.28%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -12.37%E -7.11%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 18:29
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 52.61%EV -12.87%E -7.44%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 18:29
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 18:45
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 18:29
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 18:29
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 18:29
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.15%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.36%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:40
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.15%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.36%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:39
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:34
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:40
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 18:34
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.28%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -9.44%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -10.09%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:29
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:34
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:40
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:34
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:34
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -11.86%E -6.78%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 18:33
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.70%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%EV -10.48%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -9.22%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:40
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -10.48%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 18:35
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.53%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 18:34
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 18:40
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 18:39
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 49.86%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -10.09%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:39
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:39
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -12.87%E -7.44%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -17.00%E -5.90%K -9.04%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-04 18:44
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-04 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-04-04 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-04-04 18:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-04-04 18:55
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.87%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60%2.4%2026-04-04 18:55