La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fortaleza v Juventude
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fortaleza (Local)
Predicción 50.36%1.99momio equitativo
EV -3.80%
Ventaja -1.99%
Kelly -4.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.83%50.52%50.28%53.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.811.831.9158.82%55.19%54.64%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Juventude (Visitante)
Predicción 20.82%4.80momio equitativo
EV +2.42%
Ventaja +0.492%
Kelly +0.618%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.78%20.74%20.86%22.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.454.504.9225.00%22.48%22.22%20.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.82%3.47momio equitativo
EV -0.577%
Ventaja -0.167%
Kelly -0.236%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.17%28.74%28.86%30.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.233.203.4534.72%30.93%31.25%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.10%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.53%EV +2.42%E +0.492%K +0.618%G +0.015% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.38%EV -5.76%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -14.38%E -8.46%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -0.075%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 18:43 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 18:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.34%EV -10.35%E -5.82%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.02%E -0.594%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -11.86%E -6.78%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -5.28%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -12.37%E -7.11%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.61%EV -12.87%E -7.44%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.15%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.36%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.15%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.36%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.28%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -9.44%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -10.09%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 13:29 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -11.86%E -6.78%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 18:33 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.70%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%EV -10.48%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -9.22%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -10.48%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-04 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.53%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.86%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -10.09%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -12.87%E -7.44%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -17.00%E -5.90%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-04-04 18:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.87% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |