La scuola delle quote

Fortaleza v Juventude

Inizio: 2026-04-04 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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45 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Fortaleza (Casa)

Previsione 50.36%1.99quota equa
EV -3.80%
Vantaggio -1.99%
Kelly -4.18%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.83%50.52%50.28%53.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.811.831.9158.82%55.19%54.64%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Juventude (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.82%4.80quota equa
EV +2.42%
Vantaggio +0.492%
Kelly +0.618%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.78%20.74%20.86%22.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.454.504.9225.00%22.48%22.22%20.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.82%3.47quota equa
EV -0.577%
Vantaggio -0.167%
Kelly -0.236%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.17%28.74%28.86%30.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.233.203.4534.72%30.93%31.25%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.10%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.53%EV +2.42%E +0.492%K +0.618%G +0.015%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.38%EV -5.76%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 18:35
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -14.38%E -8.46%K -20.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -0.075%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 18:44
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 18:35
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 18:34
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 18:29
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:43
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 18:54
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:45
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.34%EV -10.35%E -5.82%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.02%E -0.594%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 18:34
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -11.86%E -6.78%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 18:30
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -5.28%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -12.37%E -7.11%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 18:29
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 52.61%EV -12.87%E -7.44%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 18:29
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 18:45
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 18:29
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 18:29
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 18:29
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.15%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.36%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:40
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.15%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.36%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:39
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:34
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:40
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 18:34
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.28%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -9.44%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -10.09%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:29
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:34
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:40
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:34
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:34
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -11.86%E -6.78%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 18:33
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.70%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%EV -10.48%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -9.22%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 18:40
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -10.48%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 18:35
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.53%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 18:34
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 18:40
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 18:39
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 49.86%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -10.09%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:39
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:39
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -12.87%E -7.44%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -17.00%E -5.90%K -9.04%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-04 18:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-04 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-04-04 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-04-04 18:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-04-04 18:55
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.87%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60%2.4%2026-04-04 18:55