L’École des cotesFrançais
Fortaleza v Juventude
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fortaleza (Local)
Prévision 50.36%1.99cote équitable
EV -3.80%
Avantage -1.99%
Kelly -4.18%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.91
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.83%50.52%50.28%53.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.811.831.9158.82%55.19%54.64%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Juventude (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.82%4.80cote équitable
EV +2.42%
Avantage +0.492%
Kelly +0.618%
Croissance +0.015%
avec la cote maximale 4.92
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.78%20.74%20.86%22.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.454.504.9225.00%22.48%22.22%20.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.82%3.47cote équitable
EV -0.577%
Avantage -0.167%
Kelly -0.236%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.17%28.74%28.86%30.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.233.203.4534.72%30.93%31.25%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.10%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.53%EV +2.42%E +0.492%K +0.618%G +0.015% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.38%EV -5.76%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -14.38%E -8.46%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -0.075%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 18:43 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 18:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.34%EV -10.35%E -5.82%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.02%E -0.594%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -11.86%E -6.78%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -5.28%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -12.37%E -7.11%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.61%EV -12.87%E -7.44%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.15%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.36%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.15%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.36%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.28%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -9.44%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -10.09%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 13:29 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -11.86%E -6.78%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 18:33 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.70%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%EV -10.48%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -9.22%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -10.48%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-04 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.53%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.86%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -10.09%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -12.87%E -7.44%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -17.00%E -5.90%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-04-04 18:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.87% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |