مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Fortaleza v Juventude
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Fortaleza (المضيف)
التنبؤ 50.36%1.99السعر العادل
EV -3.80%
الأفضلية -1.99%
Kelly -4.18%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.91
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.83%50.52%50.28%53.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.811.831.9158.82%55.19%54.64%52.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Juventude (الضيف)
التنبؤ 20.82%4.80السعر العادل
EV +2.42%
الأفضلية +0.492%
Kelly +0.618%
النمو +0.015%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.92
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.78%20.74%20.86%22.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.454.504.9225.00%22.48%22.22%20.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 28.82%3.47السعر العادل
EV -0.577%
الأفضلية -0.167%
Kelly -0.236%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.45
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.17%28.74%28.86%30.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.233.203.4534.72%30.93%31.25%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.10%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.53%EV +2.42%E +0.492%K +0.618%G +0.015% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.38%EV -5.76%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -14.38%E -8.46%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -0.075%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.64%EV -9.85%E -5.50%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -0.577%E -0.167%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -2.16%E -0.459%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 18:43 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 18:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.34%EV -10.35%E -5.82%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.02%E -0.594%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -11.86%E -6.78%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -4.24%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -5.28%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -12.37%E -7.11%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.61%EV -12.87%E -7.44%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -3.46%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.32%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 18:29 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.15%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.36%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.15%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.36%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.40%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.28%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -9.44%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -10.09%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 13:29 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -11.86%E -6.78%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -9.86%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 18:33 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.70%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%EV -10.48%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -9.22%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -10.48%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-04 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.53%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 18:34 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.78%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.86%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -10.09%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -12.87%E -7.44%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -17.00%E -5.90%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-04-04 18:44 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.87% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |