赔率学院

Fortaleza v Grêmio Novorizontino

开赛时间: 2026-07-18 00:00 UTC

最终结果: Fortaleza 1–0 Grêmio Novorizontino

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Fortaleza (主队)

预测 44.26%2.26公平赔率
EV -4.84%
优势 -2.25%
Kelly -4.21%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
43.38%44.35%44.14%46.23%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.942.062.062.1551.55%48.48%48.54%46.51%MIN均值中位数MAX

Grêmio Novorizontino (客队)

预测 25.83%3.87公平赔率
EV +0.202%
优势 +0.052%
Kelly +0.070%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.88

博彩公司预测分布
23.72%25.75%25.81%27.22%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.303.543.553.8830.30%28.27%28.17%25.77%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 29.91%3.34公平赔率
EV -2.78%
优势 -0.854%
Kelly -1.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布
28.73%29.90%30.04%30.77%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.003.093.083.2533.33%32.34%32.41%30.77%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.16%EV -5.73%E -2.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.79%EV +0.202%E +0.052%K +0.070%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.06%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 23:45
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -13.69%E -7.02%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -1.86%E -0.490%K -0.666%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 23:29
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.80%EV -2.64%E -0.700%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -7.56%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 23:55
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 23:44
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 23:44
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 23:44
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.02%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -5.74%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 23:55
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 23:55
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 14:39
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 23:55
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -7.86%E -2.55%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 23:55
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 23:23
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 23:10
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 23:10
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 23:24
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 23:24
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 23:54
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 23:24
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 23:55
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 23:55
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:55
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:55
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -9.71%E -4.76%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 23:24
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 23:09
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-17 23:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-17 23:55
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-17 22:24
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -12.81%E -6.50%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.90%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -12.81%E -6.50%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -10.90%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-17 23:55
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 23:55
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-17 23:55
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-17 23:55
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -13.25%E -6.76%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-17 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 45.10%EV -14.14%E -7.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-17 23:55
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 45.10%EV -14.14%E -7.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-17 23:55
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-17 23:49
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-17 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-17 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-17 23:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.64%0.4%2026-07-17 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97%0.9%2026-07-17 23:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97%0.9%2026-07-17 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97%0.9%2026-07-17 23:35
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75%1.6%2026-07-17 23:55