Школа коэффициентов

Fortaleza v Grêmio Novorizontino

Начало: 2026-07-18 00:00 UTC

Итог: Fortaleza 1–0 Grêmio Novorizontino

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

48 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Fortaleza (Хозяева)

Прогноз 44.26%2.26справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.84%
Преимущество -2.25%
Kelly -4.21%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.15

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
43.38%44.35%44.14%46.23%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.942.062.062.1551.55%48.48%48.54%46.51%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Grêmio Novorizontino (Гости)

Прогноз 25.83%3.87справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.202%
Преимущество +0.052%
Kelly +0.070%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.88

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.72%25.75%25.81%27.22%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.543.553.8830.30%28.27%28.17%25.77%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 29.91%3.34справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.78%
Преимущество -0.854%
Kelly -1.23%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.73%29.90%30.04%30.77%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.093.083.2533.33%32.34%32.41%30.77%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.16%EV -5.73%E -2.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.79%EV +0.202%E +0.052%K +0.070%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.06%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 23:45
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -13.69%E -7.02%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -1.86%E -0.490%K -0.666%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 23:29
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.80%EV -2.64%E -0.700%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -7.56%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 23:55
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 23:44
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 23:44
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 23:44
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.02%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -5.74%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 23:55
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 23:55
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 14:39
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 23:55
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -7.86%E -2.55%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 23:55
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 23:23
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 23:10
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 23:10
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 23:24
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 23:24
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 23:54
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 23:24
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 23:55
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 23:55
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:55
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:55
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -9.71%E -4.76%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 23:24
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 23:09
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-17 23:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-17 23:55
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-17 22:24
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -12.81%E -6.50%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.90%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -12.81%E -6.50%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -10.90%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-17 23:55
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 23:55
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-17 23:55
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-17 23:55
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -13.25%E -6.76%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-17 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 45.10%EV -14.14%E -7.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-17 23:55
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 45.10%EV -14.14%E -7.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-17 23:55
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-17 23:49
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-17 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-17 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-17 23:55
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.64%0.4%2026-07-17 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97%0.9%2026-07-17 23:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97%0.9%2026-07-17 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97%0.9%2026-07-17 23:35
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75%1.6%2026-07-17 23:55