Szkoła KursówPolski
Fortaleza v Grêmio Novorizontino
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Fortaleza (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 44.26%2.26kurs godziwy
EV -4.84%
Przewaga -2.25%
Kelly -4.21%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.15
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
43.38%44.35%44.14%46.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.942.062.062.1551.55%48.48%48.54%46.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Grêmio Novorizontino (Goście)
Prognoza 25.83%3.87kurs godziwy
EV +0.202%
Przewaga +0.052%
Kelly +0.070%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.88
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.72%25.75%25.81%27.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.543.553.8830.30%28.27%28.17%25.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 29.91%3.34kurs godziwy
EV -2.78%
Przewaga -0.854%
Kelly -1.23%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.25
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.73%29.90%30.04%30.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.093.083.2533.33%32.34%32.41%30.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (48 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.16%EV -5.73%E -2.69%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.79%EV +0.202%E +0.052%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.06%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-17 23:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -13.69%E -7.02%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -1.86%E -0.490%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-17 23:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.80%EV -2.64%E -0.700%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -7.56%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| BetUS | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.02%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -5.74%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Casumo | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| betPARX | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 14:39 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -7.86%E -2.55%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-17 23:23 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-17 23:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-17 23:10 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-17 23:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-17 23:24 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 23:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-17 23:24 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -9.71%E -4.76%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-17 23:24 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-17 22:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -12.81%E -6.50%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.90%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -12.81%E -6.50%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -10.90%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -13.25%E -6.76%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.10%EV -14.14%E -7.29%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.10%EV -14.14%E -7.29%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| betano_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-17 23:49 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (5)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.64% | 0.4% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97% | 0.9% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97% | 0.9% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97% | 0.9% | 2026-07-17 23:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.33% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75% | 1.6% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |