La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Fortaleza v Grêmio Novorizontino
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Fortaleza (Casa)
Previsione 44.26%2.26quota equa
EV -4.84%
Vantaggio -2.25%
Kelly -4.21%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.38%44.35%44.14%46.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.942.062.062.1551.55%48.48%48.54%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Grêmio Novorizontino (Trasferta)
Previsione 25.83%3.87quota equa
EV +0.202%
Vantaggio +0.052%
Kelly +0.070%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.88
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.72%25.75%25.81%27.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.543.553.8830.30%28.27%28.17%25.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 29.91%3.34quota equa
EV -2.78%
Vantaggio -0.854%
Kelly -1.23%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.73%29.90%30.04%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.093.083.2533.33%32.34%32.41%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.16%EV -5.73%E -2.69%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.79%EV +0.202%E +0.052%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.06%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-17 23:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -13.69%E -7.02%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -1.86%E -0.490%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-17 23:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.80%EV -2.64%E -0.700%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -7.56%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| BetUS | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.02%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -5.74%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Casumo | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| betPARX | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 14:39 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -7.86%E -2.55%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-17 23:23 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-17 23:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-17 23:10 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-17 23:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-17 23:24 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 23:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-17 23:24 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -9.71%E -4.76%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-17 23:24 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-17 22:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -12.81%E -6.50%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.90%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -12.81%E -6.50%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -10.90%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -13.25%E -6.76%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.10%EV -14.14%E -7.29%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.10%EV -14.14%E -7.29%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| betano_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-17 23:49 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.64% | 0.4% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97% | 0.9% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97% | 0.9% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97% | 0.9% | 2026-07-17 23:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.33% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75% | 1.6% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |