StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Fortaleza v Grêmio Novorizontino

Aanvang: 2026-07-18 00:00 UTC

Eindstand: Fortaleza 1–0 Grêmio Novorizontino

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

48 wedaanbieders (17 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Fortaleza (Thuis)

Prognose 44.26%2.26margevrije odds
EV -4.84%
Voordeel -2.25%
Kelly -4.21%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 2.15

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
43.38%44.35%44.14%46.23%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.942.062.062.1551.55%48.48%48.54%46.51%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Grêmio Novorizontino (Uit)

Prognose 25.83%3.87margevrije odds
EV +0.202%
Voordeel +0.052%
Kelly +0.070%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 3.88

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
23.72%25.75%25.81%27.22%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.303.543.553.8830.30%28.27%28.17%25.77%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 29.91%3.34margevrije odds
EV -2.78%
Voordeel -0.854%
Kelly -1.23%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 3.25

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
28.73%29.90%30.04%30.77%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.003.093.083.2533.33%32.34%32.41%30.77%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Fortaleza (Thuis): 44.26%; Grêmio Novorizontino (Uit): 25.83%; Gelijkspel: 29.91%. Voor Grêmio Novorizontino (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 3.87. 1 wedaanbieder bood slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 3.88, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +0.202%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (48 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼GelijkspelMargeBijgewerkt
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.16%EV -5.73%E -2.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.79%EV +0.202%E +0.052%K +0.070%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.06%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 23:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -13.69%E -7.02%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -1.86%E -0.490%K -0.666%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 23:29
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.80%EV -2.64%E -0.700%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -7.56%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 23:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 23:44
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 23:44
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.02%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -5.74%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 23:55
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 23:55
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 14:39
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -7.86%E -2.55%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 23:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 23:23
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 23:10
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 23:10
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 23:24
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 23:24
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 23:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 23:24
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 23:55
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 23:55
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:55
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:55
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -9.71%E -4.76%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 23:24
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 23:09
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-17 23:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-17 23:55
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-17 22:24
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -12.81%E -6.50%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.90%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -12.81%E -6.50%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -10.90%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-17 23:55
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 23:55
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-17 23:55
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-17 23:55
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -13.25%E -6.76%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-17 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.10%EV -14.14%E -7.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-17 23:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.10%EV -14.14%E -7.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-17 23:55
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-17 23:49
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-17 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-17 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-17 23:55
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (5)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.64%0.4%2026-07-17 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97%0.9%2026-07-17 23:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97%0.9%2026-07-17 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97%0.9%2026-07-17 23:35
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75%1.6%2026-07-17 23:55