مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fortaleza v Grêmio Novorizontino

البداية: 2026-07-18 00:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Fortaleza 1–0 Grêmio Novorizontino

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fortaleza (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.26%2.26السعر العادل
EV -4.84%
الأفضلية -2.25%
Kelly -4.21%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.38%44.35%44.14%46.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.942.062.062.1551.55%48.48%48.54%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Grêmio Novorizontino (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.83%3.87السعر العادل
EV +0.202%
الأفضلية +0.052%
Kelly +0.070%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.72%25.75%25.81%27.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.543.553.8830.30%28.27%28.17%25.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.91%3.34السعر العادل
EV -2.78%
الأفضلية -0.854%
Kelly -1.23%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.73%29.90%30.04%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.093.083.2533.33%32.34%32.41%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.16%EV -5.73%E -2.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.79%EV +0.202%E +0.052%K +0.070%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.06%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 23:45
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -13.69%E -7.02%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -1.86%E -0.490%K -0.666%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 23:29
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.80%EV -2.64%E -0.700%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -7.56%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 23:55
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 23:44
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 23:44
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 23:44
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.02%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -5.74%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 23:55
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 23:55
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:55
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 14:39
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.27%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 23:55
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -7.86%E -2.55%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 23:55
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 23:23
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 23:10
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 23:10
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 23:24
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 23:24
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 23:54
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 23:24
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 23:55
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 23:55
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:55
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:55
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -9.71%E -4.76%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 23:24
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 23:09
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-17 23:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-17 23:55
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-17 22:24
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -12.81%E -6.50%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.90%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -12.81%E -6.50%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -10.90%E -3.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-17 23:55
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 23:55
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-17 23:55
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-17 23:55
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -13.25%E -6.76%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-17 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 45.10%EV -14.14%E -7.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-17 23:55
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 45.10%EV -14.14%E -7.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-17 23:55
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-17 23:49
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-17 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-17 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-17 23:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.64%0.4%2026-07-17 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97%0.9%2026-07-17 23:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97%0.9%2026-07-17 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.97%0.9%2026-07-17 23:35
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75%1.6%2026-07-17 23:55