Школа коэффициентов

Criciuma v Sport Recife

Начало: 2026-07-04 19:08 UTC

Итог: Criciuma 1–0 Sport Recife

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

47 букмекерских контор (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Criciuma (Хозяева)

Прогноз 50.19%1.99справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.64%
Преимущество -1.36%
Kelly -2.81%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.94

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.59%50.05%50.23%52.10%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.751.851.851.9457.14%54.13%54.05%51.55%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Sport Recife (Гости)

Прогноз 21.27%4.70справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.032%
Преимущество -0.007%
Kelly -0.009%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.70

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.40%21.40%21.22%23.75%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.704.154.204.7027.03%24.07%23.81%21.28%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.54%3.50справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.52%
Преимущество -1.04%
Kelly -1.48%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.38

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.69%28.56%28.55%29.98%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.203.203.3833.33%31.30%31.25%29.59%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:05
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:05
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:05
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:05
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 19:05
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 18:59
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.71%EV -5.15%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.93%EV -2.58%E -0.564%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.36%EV -3.52%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 18:59
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:00
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 47.59%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -19.17%E -5.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 19:05
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 19:03
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -17.05%E -4.37%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 18:51
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-04 18:59
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 19:04
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 19:05
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.09%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 19:00
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 19:00
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -19.17%E -5.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 19:05
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 19:05
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 19:04
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 19:05
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.62%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.89%EV -12.94%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-04 19:05
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.76%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 20.85%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.39%EV -6.09%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 18:59
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.41%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-04 19:05
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.41%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-04 19:05
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 19:05
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 19:01
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 19:05
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 18:59
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 18:59
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 18:59
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 19:05
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.45%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -21.30%E -5.76%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-04 19:05
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 19:05
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.90%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 19:05
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 19:05
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 19:05
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 19:05
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.18%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -7.90%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.95%EV -10.95%E -3.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-04 19:05
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 19:05
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.51%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -17.05%E -4.37%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-04 19:05
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.10%EV -12.17%E -6.96%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -0.032%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 19:05
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-07-04 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.51%2.7%2026-07-04 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.51%2.7%2026-07-04 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.49%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.52%4.2%2026-07-04 19:05
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%4.4%2026-07-04 19:05