A Escola das Odds

Criciuma v Sport Recife

Início: 2026-07-04 19:08 UTC

Final: Criciuma 1–0 Sport Recife

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Criciuma (Local)

Previsão 50.19%1.99odd justa
EV -2.64%
Vantagem -1.36%
Kelly -2.81%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.59%50.05%50.23%52.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.751.851.851.9457.14%54.13%54.05%51.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sport Recife (Visitante)

Previsão 21.27%4.70odd justa
EV -0.032%
Vantagem -0.007%
Kelly -0.009%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.40%21.40%21.22%23.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.704.154.204.7027.03%24.07%23.81%21.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.54%3.50odd justa
EV -3.52%
Vantagem -1.04%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.69%28.56%28.55%29.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.203.203.3833.33%31.30%31.25%29.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:05
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:05
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:05
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:05
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 19:05
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 18:59
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.71%EV -5.15%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.93%EV -2.58%E -0.564%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.36%EV -3.52%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 18:59
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:00
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 47.59%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -19.17%E -5.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 19:05
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 19:03
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -17.05%E -4.37%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 18:51
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-04 18:59
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 19:04
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 19:05
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.09%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 19:00
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 19:00
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -19.17%E -5.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 19:05
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 19:05
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 19:04
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 19:05
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.62%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.89%EV -12.94%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-04 19:05
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.76%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 20.85%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.39%EV -6.09%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 18:59
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.41%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-04 19:05
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.41%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-04 19:05
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 19:05
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 19:01
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 19:05
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 18:59
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 18:59
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 18:59
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 19:05
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.45%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -21.30%E -5.76%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-04 19:05
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 19:05
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.90%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 19:05
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 19:05
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 19:05
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 19:05
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.18%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -7.90%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.95%EV -10.95%E -3.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-04 19:05
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 19:05
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.51%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -17.05%E -4.37%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-04 19:05
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.10%EV -12.17%E -6.96%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -0.032%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 19:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-07-04 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.51%2.7%2026-07-04 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.51%2.7%2026-07-04 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.49%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.52%4.2%2026-07-04 19:05
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%4.4%2026-07-04 19:05