La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Criciuma v Sport Recife
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Criciuma (Casa)
Previsione 50.19%1.99quota equa
EV -2.64%
Vantaggio -1.36%
Kelly -2.81%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.94
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.59%50.05%50.23%52.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.851.851.9457.14%54.13%54.05%51.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Sport Recife (Trasferta)
Previsione 21.27%4.70quota equa
EV -0.032%
Vantaggio -0.007%
Kelly -0.009%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.40%21.40%21.22%23.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.704.154.204.7027.03%24.07%23.81%21.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 28.54%3.50quota equa
EV -3.52%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.38
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.69%28.56%28.55%29.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.203.203.3833.33%31.30%31.25%29.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.71%EV -5.15%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.93%EV -2.58%E -0.564%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.36%EV -3.52%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.59%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -19.17%E -5.05%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 19:03 |
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -17.05%E -4.37%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 18:51 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 19:04 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.09%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -19.17%E -5.05%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 19:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.62%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.89%EV -12.94%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.76%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 20.85%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.39%EV -6.09%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.41%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.41%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 19:01 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.45%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -21.30%E -5.76%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.90%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.18%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -7.90%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.95%EV -10.95%E -3.51%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.51%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -17.05%E -4.37%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.10%EV -12.17%E -6.96%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -0.032%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.20% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.51% | 2.7% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.20% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.51% | 2.7% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.49% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.52% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.15% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |