Die Schule der Quoten

Criciuma v Sport Recife

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-04 19:08 UTC

Endstand: Criciuma 1–0 Sport Recife

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Criciuma (Heim)

Prognose 50.19%1.99faire Quote
EV -2.64%
Vorteil -1.36%
Kelly -2.81%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.94

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
47.59%50.05%50.23%52.10%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.751.851.851.9457.14%54.13%54.05%51.55%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Sport Recife (Auswärts)

Prognose 21.27%4.70faire Quote
EV -0.032%
Vorteil -0.007%
Kelly -0.009%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.40%21.40%21.22%23.75%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.704.154.204.7027.03%24.07%23.81%21.28%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 28.54%3.50faire Quote
EV -3.52%
Vorteil -1.04%
Kelly -1.48%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.38

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.69%28.56%28.55%29.98%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.203.203.3833.33%31.30%31.25%29.59%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:05
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:05
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:05
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:05
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 19:05
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 18:59
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.71%EV -5.15%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.93%EV -2.58%E -0.564%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.36%EV -3.52%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 18:59
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:00
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 47.59%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -19.17%E -5.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 19:05
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 19:03
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -17.05%E -4.37%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 18:51
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-04 18:59
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 19:04
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 19:05
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.09%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 19:00
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 19:00
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -19.17%E -5.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 19:05
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 19:05
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 19:04
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 19:05
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.62%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.89%EV -12.94%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-04 19:05
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.76%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 20.85%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.39%EV -6.09%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 18:59
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.41%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-04 19:05
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.41%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-04 19:05
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 19:05
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 19:01
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 19:05
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 18:59
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 18:59
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 18:59
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 19:05
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.45%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -21.30%E -5.76%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-04 19:05
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 19:05
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.90%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 19:05
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 19:05
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 19:05
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 19:05
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.18%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -7.90%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.95%EV -10.95%E -3.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-04 19:05
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 19:05
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.51%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -17.05%E -4.37%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-04 19:05
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.10%EV -12.17%E -6.96%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -0.032%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 19:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-07-04 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.51%2.7%2026-07-04 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.51%2.7%2026-07-04 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.49%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.52%4.2%2026-07-04 19:05
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%4.4%2026-07-04 19:05