L’École des cotesCriciuma v Sport Recife
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Criciuma (Local)
Prévision 50.19%1.99cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -2.81%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.94
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.59%50.05%50.23%52.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.851.851.9457.14%54.13%54.05%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Sport Recife (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.27%4.70cote équitable
EV -0.032%
Avantage -0.007%
Kelly -0.009%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.40%21.40%21.22%23.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.154.204.7027.03%24.07%23.81%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.54%3.50cote équitable
EV -3.52%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -1.48%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.69%28.56%28.55%29.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.203.203.3833.33%31.30%31.25%29.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.71%EV -5.15%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.93%EV -2.58%E -0.564%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.36%EV -3.52%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.59%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -19.17%E -5.05%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 19:03 |
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -17.05%E -4.37%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 18:51 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 19:04 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.09%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -19.17%E -5.05%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 19:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.62%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.89%EV -12.94%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.76%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 20.85%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.39%EV -6.09%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.41%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.41%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 19:01 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.45%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -21.30%E -5.76%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.90%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.18%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -7.90%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.95%EV -10.95%E -3.51%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.51%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -17.05%E -4.37%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.10%EV -12.17%E -6.96%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -0.032%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.20% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.51% | 2.7% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.20% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.51% | 2.7% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.49% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.52% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.15% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |