مدرسة الاحتمالات

Criciuma v Sport Recife

البداية: 2026-07-04 19:08 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Criciuma 1–0 Sport Recife

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Criciuma (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.19%1.99السعر العادل
EV -2.64%
الأفضلية -1.36%
Kelly -2.81%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.94

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.59%50.05%50.23%52.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.751.851.851.9457.14%54.13%54.05%51.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sport Recife (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.27%4.70السعر العادل
EV -0.032%
الأفضلية -0.007%
Kelly -0.009%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.40%21.40%21.22%23.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.704.154.204.7027.03%24.07%23.81%21.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.54%3.50السعر العادل
EV -3.52%
الأفضلية -1.04%
Kelly -1.48%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.69%28.56%28.55%29.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.203.203.3833.33%31.30%31.25%29.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:05
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:05
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:05
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:05
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 19:05
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 18:59
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.71%EV -5.15%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.93%EV -2.58%E -0.564%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.36%EV -3.52%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 18:59
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:00
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 47.59%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -19.17%E -5.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 19:05
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 19:03
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -17.05%E -4.37%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 18:51
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-04 18:59
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 19:04
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 19:05
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.09%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 19:00
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 19:00
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -19.17%E -5.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 19:05
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 19:05
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 19:04
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 19:05
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.62%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.89%EV -12.94%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-04 19:05
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.76%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 20.85%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.39%EV -6.09%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 18:59
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.41%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-04 19:05
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.41%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-04 19:05
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 19:05
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 19:01
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 19:05
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 18:59
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 18:59
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 18:59
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 19:05
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.45%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -21.30%E -5.76%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-04 19:05
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 19:05
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.90%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 19:05
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 19:05
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 19:05
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 19:05
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.18%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -7.90%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.95%EV -10.95%E -3.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-04 19:05
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 19:05
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.51%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -17.05%E -4.37%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-04 19:05
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.10%EV -12.17%E -6.96%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -0.032%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 19:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-07-04 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.51%2.7%2026-07-04 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.51%2.7%2026-07-04 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.49%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.52%4.2%2026-07-04 19:05
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%4.4%2026-07-04 19:05