Szkoła Kursów

Criciuma v Sport Recife

Początek: 2026-07-04 19:08 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Criciuma 1–0 Sport Recife

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

47 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Criciuma (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 50.19%1.99kurs godziwy
EV -2.64%
Przewaga -1.36%
Kelly -2.81%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.94

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.59%50.05%50.23%52.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.751.851.851.9457.14%54.13%54.05%51.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Sport Recife (Goście)

Prognoza 21.27%4.70kurs godziwy
EV -0.032%
Przewaga -0.007%
Kelly -0.009%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.40%21.40%21.22%23.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.704.154.204.7027.03%24.07%23.81%21.28%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.54%3.50kurs godziwy
EV -3.52%
Przewaga -1.04%
Kelly -1.48%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.38

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.69%28.56%28.55%29.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.203.203.3833.33%31.30%31.25%29.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (47 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:05
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:05
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:05
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:05
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 19:05
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 18:59
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.71%EV -5.15%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.93%EV -2.58%E -0.564%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.36%EV -3.52%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 18:59
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 19:00
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 47.59%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -19.17%E -5.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 19:05
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 19:03
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -17.05%E -4.37%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 18:51
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-04 18:59
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 19:04
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 19:05
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.09%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 19:00
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 19:00
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -19.17%E -5.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 19:05
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 19:05
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 19:04
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 19:05
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.62%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.89%EV -12.94%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-04 19:05
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.76%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 20.85%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.39%EV -6.09%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 18:59
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.41%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-04 19:05
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.41%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-04 19:05
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 19:05
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 19:01
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 19:05
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 18:59
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 18:59
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 18:59
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 19:05
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.45%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -21.30%E -5.76%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-04 19:05
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 19:05
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.90%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 19:05
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 19:05
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 19:05
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 19:05
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.18%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -7.90%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.95%EV -10.95%E -3.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-04 19:05
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 19:05
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.51%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -17.05%E -4.37%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-04 19:05
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.10%EV -12.17%E -6.96%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -0.032%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 19:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-07-04 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.51%2.7%2026-07-04 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.51%2.7%2026-07-04 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.49%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.52%4.2%2026-07-04 19:05
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%4.4%2026-07-04 19:05