La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Criciuma v Sport Recife
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Criciuma (Local)
Predicción 50.19%1.99momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -2.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.59%50.05%50.23%52.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.851.851.9457.14%54.13%54.05%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sport Recife (Visitante)
Predicción 21.27%4.70momio equitativo
EV -0.032%
Ventaja -0.007%
Kelly -0.009%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.40%21.40%21.22%23.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.154.204.7027.03%24.07%23.81%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.54%3.50momio equitativo
EV -3.52%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.69%28.56%28.55%29.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.203.203.3833.33%31.30%31.25%29.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -2.64%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.64%E -1.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.98%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.71%EV -5.15%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.93%EV -2.58%E -0.564%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.36%EV -3.52%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.59%EV -5.65%E -3.00%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -19.17%E -5.05%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 19:03 |
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -17.05%E -4.37%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 18:51 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 19:04 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.09%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -19.17%E -5.05%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 19:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.62%EV -7.15%E -3.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.89%EV -12.94%E -4.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.76%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 20.85%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.39%EV -6.09%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.41%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.41%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -20.24%E -5.40%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -4.29%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 19:01 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.46%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.45%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -21.30%E -5.76%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.90%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.18%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -7.90%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.95%EV -10.95%E -3.51%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.51%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -17.05%E -4.37%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.10%EV -12.17%E -6.96%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -0.032%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.20% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.51% | 2.7% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.20% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.51% | 2.7% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.49% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.52% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.15% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |