语言:简体中文
Ceará v Fortaleza
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Ceará (主队)
预测 36.01%2.78公平赔率
EV -2.41%
优势 -0.889%
Kelly -1.41%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.71
博彩公司预测分布
33.52%36.05%36.05%38.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.512.502.7142.55%39.79%40.00%36.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
Fortaleza (客队)
预测 31.68%3.16公平赔率
EV +1.36%
优势 +0.425%
Kelly +0.618%
增长率 +0.008%
假设最高赔率为 3.20
博彩公司预测分布
29.26%31.68%31.70%34.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.632.982.933.2038.02%33.58%34.13%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 32.31%3.09公平赔率
EV -3.06%
优势 -1.02%
Kelly -1.53%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.00
博彩公司预测分布
31.09%32.28%32.25%33.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.842.853.0038.46%35.23%35.09%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ceará (主队)：36.01%；Fortaleza (客队)：31.68%；平局：32.31%。 对于“Fortaleza (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.16。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.20，对应+1.36%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -12.49%E -5.14%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -0.224%E -0.071%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.68%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -0.224%E -0.071%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -14.29%E -6.01%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -1.81%E -0.583%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -14.29%E -6.01%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -1.81%E -0.583%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.54%EV -2.41%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.48%EV -3.07%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.98%EV -5.64%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.06%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 00:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 21:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -3.06%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -4.57%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 21:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.51%EV -7.19%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.09%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.51%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.09%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.51%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.29%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -5.65%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.72%EV -8.55%E -3.02%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 21:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -5.29%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 21:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -5.65%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 20:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 21:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.73%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.61%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%EV -12.75%E -4.72%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-17 20:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.73%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 21:23 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -16.06%E -6.06%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.34%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -16.69%E -6.35%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -15.98%E -6.15%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-17 21:11 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.11% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |