Oddsskolan

Ceará v Fortaleza

Matchstart: 2026-05-17 21:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Ceará 2–1 Fortaleza

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

43 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Ceará (Hemma)

Prognos 36.01%2.78rättvist odds
EV -2.41%
Fördel -0.889%
Kelly -1.41%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.71

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.52%36.05%36.05%38.53%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.352.512.502.7142.55%39.79%40.00%36.90%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Fortaleza (Borta)

Prognos 31.68%3.16rättvist odds
EV +1.36%
Fördel +0.425%
Kelly +0.618%
Tillväxt +0.008%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.26%31.68%31.70%34.15%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.632.982.933.2038.02%33.58%34.13%31.25%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 32.31%3.09rättvist odds
EV -3.06%
Fördel -1.02%
Kelly -1.53%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.09%32.28%32.25%33.27%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.602.842.853.0038.46%35.23%35.09%33.33%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (43 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -12.49%E -5.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -0.224%E -0.071%K -0.104%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.68%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:10
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -0.224%E -0.071%K -0.104%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -14.29%E -6.01%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -1.81%E -0.583%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 21:25
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -14.29%E -6.01%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -1.81%E -0.583%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 21:25
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.54%EV -2.41%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.48%EV -3.07%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.98%EV -5.64%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:25
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:25
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:25
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.06%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 21:05
LowVig.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 00:19
BetOnline.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 00:20
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 21:24
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -3.06%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 21:15
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -4.57%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 21:23
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.51%EV -7.19%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 21:25
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.09%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.51%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 21:10
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.09%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.51%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 21:10
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.29%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 21:20
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -5.65%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.72%EV -8.55%E -3.02%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 21:24
Bovada2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -5.29%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 21:24
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -5.65%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 21:10
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 21:10
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 20:45
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 21:25
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:15
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.73%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.61%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%EV -12.75%E -4.72%K -7.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-17 20:44
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.73%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 21:23
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -16.06%E -6.06%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.34%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -16.69%E -6.35%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -15.98%E -6.15%K -9.99%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-17 21:11
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%0.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 35.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45%1.0%2026-05-17 21:25