مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ceará v Fortaleza

البداية: 2026-05-17 21:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Ceará 2–1 Fortaleza

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

43 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ceará (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.01%2.78السعر العادل
EV -2.41%
الأفضلية -0.889%
Kelly -1.41%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.52%36.05%36.05%38.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.512.502.7142.55%39.79%40.00%36.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Fortaleza (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.68%3.16السعر العادل
EV +1.36%
الأفضلية +0.425%
Kelly +0.618%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.26%31.68%31.70%34.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.982.933.2038.02%33.58%34.13%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 32.31%3.09السعر العادل
EV -3.06%
الأفضلية -1.02%
Kelly -1.53%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.09%32.28%32.25%33.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.842.853.0038.46%35.23%35.09%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (43 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -12.49%E -5.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -0.224%E -0.071%K -0.104%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.68%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:10
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -0.224%E -0.071%K -0.104%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -14.29%E -6.01%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -1.81%E -0.583%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 21:25
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -14.29%E -6.01%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -1.81%E -0.583%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 21:25
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.54%EV -2.41%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.48%EV -3.07%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.98%EV -5.64%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:25
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:25
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:25
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.06%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 21:05
LowVig.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 00:19
BetOnline.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 00:20
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 21:24
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -3.06%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 21:15
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -4.57%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 21:23
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.51%EV -7.19%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 21:25
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.09%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.51%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 21:10
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.09%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.51%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 21:10
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.29%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 21:20
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -5.65%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.72%EV -8.55%E -3.02%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 21:24
Bovada2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -5.29%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 21:24
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -5.65%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 21:10
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 21:10
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 20:45
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 21:25
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:15
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.73%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.61%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%EV -12.75%E -4.72%K -7.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-17 20:44
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.73%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 21:23
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -16.06%E -6.06%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.34%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -16.69%E -6.35%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -15.98%E -6.15%K -9.99%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-17 21:11
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%0.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 35.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45%1.0%2026-05-17 21:25