Die Schule der Quoten

Ceará v Fortaleza

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-17 21:30 UTC

Endstand: Ceará 2–1 Fortaleza

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

43 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Ceará (Heim)

Prognose 36.01%2.78faire Quote
EV -2.41%
Vorteil -0.889%
Kelly -1.41%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.71

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
33.52%36.05%36.05%38.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.352.512.502.7142.55%39.79%40.00%36.90%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Fortaleza (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.68%3.16faire Quote
EV +1.36%
Vorteil +0.425%
Kelly +0.618%
Wachstum +0.008%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.26%31.68%31.70%34.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.632.982.933.2038.02%33.58%34.13%31.25%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 32.31%3.09faire Quote
EV -3.06%
Vorteil -1.02%
Kelly -1.53%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.09%32.28%32.25%33.27%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.602.842.853.0038.46%35.23%35.09%33.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (43 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -12.49%E -5.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -0.224%E -0.071%K -0.104%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.68%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:10
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -0.224%E -0.071%K -0.104%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -14.29%E -6.01%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -1.81%E -0.583%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 21:25
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -14.29%E -6.01%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -1.81%E -0.583%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 21:25
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.54%EV -2.41%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.48%EV -3.07%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.98%EV -5.64%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:25
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:25
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:25
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.06%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 21:05
LowVig.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 00:19
BetOnline.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 00:20
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 21:24
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -3.06%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 21:15
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -4.57%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 21:23
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.51%EV -7.19%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 21:25
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.09%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.51%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 21:10
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.09%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.51%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 21:10
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.29%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 21:20
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -5.65%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.72%EV -8.55%E -3.02%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 21:24
Bovada2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -5.29%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 21:24
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -5.65%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 21:10
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 21:10
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 20:45
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 21:25
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:15
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.73%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.61%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%EV -12.75%E -4.72%K -7.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-17 20:44
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.73%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 21:23
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -16.06%E -6.06%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.34%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -16.69%E -6.35%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -15.98%E -6.15%K -9.99%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-17 21:11
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%0.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 35.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45%1.0%2026-05-17 21:25