Школа коэффициентов

Ceará v Fortaleza

Начало: 2026-05-17 21:30 UTC

Итог: Ceará 2–1 Fortaleza

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

43 букмекерские конторы (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Ceará (Хозяева)

Прогноз 36.01%2.78справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.41%
Преимущество -0.889%
Kelly -1.41%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.71

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
33.52%36.05%36.05%38.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.352.512.502.7142.55%39.79%40.00%36.90%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Fortaleza (Гости)

Прогноз 31.68%3.16справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.36%
Преимущество +0.425%
Kelly +0.618%
Рост +0.008%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.26%31.68%31.70%34.15%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.632.982.933.2038.02%33.58%34.13%31.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 32.31%3.09справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.06%
Преимущество -1.02%
Kelly -1.53%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.09%32.28%32.25%33.27%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.602.842.853.0038.46%35.23%35.09%33.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (43 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -12.49%E -5.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -0.224%E -0.071%K -0.104%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.68%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:10
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -0.224%E -0.071%K -0.104%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -14.29%E -6.01%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -1.81%E -0.583%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 21:25
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -14.29%E -6.01%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -1.81%E -0.583%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 21:25
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.54%EV -2.41%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.48%EV -3.07%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.98%EV -5.64%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:25
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:25
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:25
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.06%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 21:05
LowVig.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 00:19
BetOnline.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 00:20
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 21:24
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -3.06%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 21:15
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -4.57%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 21:23
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.51%EV -7.19%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 21:25
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.09%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.51%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 21:10
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.09%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.51%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 21:10
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.29%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 21:20
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -5.65%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.72%EV -8.55%E -3.02%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 21:24
Bovada2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -5.29%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 21:24
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -5.65%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 21:10
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 21:10
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 20:45
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 21:25
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:15
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.73%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.61%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%EV -12.75%E -4.72%K -7.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-17 20:44
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.73%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 21:23
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -16.06%E -6.06%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.34%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -16.69%E -6.35%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -15.98%E -6.15%K -9.99%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-17 21:11
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%0.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 35.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45%1.0%2026-05-17 21:25