La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ceará v Fortaleza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ceará (Local)
Predicción 36.01%2.78momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -0.889%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.52%36.05%36.05%38.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.512.502.7142.55%39.79%40.00%36.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fortaleza (Visitante)
Predicción 31.68%3.16momio equitativo
EV +1.36%
Ventaja +0.425%
Kelly +0.618%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.26%31.68%31.70%34.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.982.933.2038.02%33.58%34.13%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 32.31%3.09momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.09%32.28%32.25%33.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.842.853.0038.46%35.23%35.09%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -12.49%E -5.14%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -0.224%E -0.071%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.68%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -0.224%E -0.071%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -14.29%E -6.01%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -1.81%E -0.583%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -14.29%E -6.01%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -1.81%E -0.583%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.54%EV -2.41%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.48%EV -3.07%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.98%EV -5.64%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.06%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 00:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 00:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 21:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -3.06%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 21:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -4.57%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 21:23 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.51%EV -7.19%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.09%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.51%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.09%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.51%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.29%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -5.65%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.72%EV -8.55%E -3.02%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 21:24 |
| Bovada | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -5.29%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 21:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -5.65%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 20:45 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 21:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.73%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.61%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%EV -12.75%E -4.72%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-17 20:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.73%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 21:23 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -16.06%E -6.06%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.34%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -16.69%E -6.35%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -15.98%E -6.15%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-17 21:11 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.11% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |