L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Ceará v Fortaleza
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ceará (Local)
Prévision 36.01%2.78cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -0.889%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.71
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.52%36.05%36.05%38.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.512.502.7142.55%39.79%40.00%36.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Fortaleza (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.68%3.16cote équitable
EV +1.36%
Avantage +0.425%
Kelly +0.618%
Croissance +0.008%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.26%31.68%31.70%34.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.982.933.2038.02%33.58%34.13%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 32.31%3.09cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.09%32.28%32.25%33.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.842.853.0038.46%35.23%35.09%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -12.49%E -5.14%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -0.224%E -0.071%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.68%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -0.224%E -0.071%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -14.29%E -6.01%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -1.81%E -0.583%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -14.29%E -6.01%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -1.81%E -0.583%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.54%EV -2.41%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.48%EV -3.07%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.98%EV -5.64%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.06%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 00:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 00:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 21:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -3.06%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 21:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -4.57%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 21:23 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.51%EV -7.19%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.09%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.51%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.09%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.51%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.29%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -5.65%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.72%EV -8.55%E -3.02%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 21:24 |
| Bovada | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -5.29%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 21:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -5.65%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 20:45 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 21:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.73%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.61%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%EV -12.75%E -4.72%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-17 20:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.73%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 21:23 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -16.06%E -6.06%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.34%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -16.69%E -6.35%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -15.98%E -6.15%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-17 21:11 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.11% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |