Szkoła Kursów

Ceará v Fortaleza

Początek: 2026-05-17 21:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Ceará 2–1 Fortaleza

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

43 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Ceará (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 36.01%2.78kurs godziwy
EV -2.41%
Przewaga -0.889%
Kelly -1.41%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.71

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
33.52%36.05%36.05%38.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.352.512.502.7142.55%39.79%40.00%36.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Fortaleza (Goście)

Prognoza 31.68%3.16kurs godziwy
EV +1.36%
Przewaga +0.425%
Kelly +0.618%
Wzrost +0.008%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.26%31.68%31.70%34.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.632.982.933.2038.02%33.58%34.13%31.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 32.31%3.09kurs godziwy
EV -3.06%
Przewaga -1.02%
Kelly -1.53%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
31.09%32.28%32.25%33.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.602.842.853.0038.46%35.23%35.09%33.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (43 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.36%E +0.425%K +0.618%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:25
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -12.49%E -5.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -0.224%E -0.071%K -0.104%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.68%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:10
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -0.224%E -0.071%K -0.104%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -14.29%E -6.01%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -1.81%E -0.583%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 21:25
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -14.29%E -6.01%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -1.81%E -0.583%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 21:25
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.54%EV -2.41%E -0.889%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.48%EV -3.07%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.98%EV -5.64%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:25
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:25
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -15.37%E -6.54%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:25
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.06%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 21:05
LowVig.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 00:19
BetOnline.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 00:20
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 21:24
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -3.06%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 21:15
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -4.57%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 21:23
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.51%EV -7.19%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 21:25
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.09%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.51%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 21:10
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.09%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.51%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 21:10
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.29%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 21:20
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -5.65%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.72%EV -8.55%E -3.02%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 21:24
Bovada2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -5.29%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 21:24
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -5.65%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 21:10
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.91%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 21:10
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 20:45
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.37%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 21:25
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -6.94%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:15
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.73%EV -13.57%E -5.66%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.61%EV -8.78%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%EV -12.75%E -4.72%K -7.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-17 20:44
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.73%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.17%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 21:23
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -2.77%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -16.06%E -6.06%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.34%EV -9.97%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -16.69%E -6.35%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -15.98%E -6.15%K -9.99%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-17 21:11
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%0.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 35.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45%1.0%2026-05-17 21:25