The School of OddsBotafogo v Avai
Head to Head
Option 1: Botafogo (Local)
Odds
1.7557.14%Min
1.8953.03%Mean
1.8853.19%Median
1.9651.02%Max
Consensus probabilities
46.98%2.128Min
51.66%1.936Max
48.98%2.042Mean
48.94%2.043Median
48.98%2.042IQM
49.00%2.041Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.96 under the IQM model: 48.98%
EV -4.01%Edge -2.04%Kelly -4.17%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Avai (Visit)
Odds
3.6527.40%Min
4.0424.73%Mean
4.0025.00%Median
4.5022.22%Max
Consensus probabilities
20.09%4.978Min
24.38%4.102Max
22.10%4.526Mean
22.13%4.518Median
22.12%4.520IQM
22.07%4.531Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.50 under the IQM model: 22.12%
EV -0.440%Edge -0.098%Kelly -0.126%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.0033.33%Min
3.1631.62%Mean
3.1531.75%Median
3.3529.85%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.71%3.609Min
30.44%3.285Max
28.92%3.457Mean
28.93%3.457Median
28.90%3.460IQM
28.93%3.456Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.35 under the IQM model: 28.90%
EV -3.19%Edge -0.951%Kelly -1.36%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Botafogo (Local) ▼ | Avai (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02% NM 47.49%EV -4.01% E -2.04% K -4.17% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.87%EV -13.71% E -3.52% K -4.73% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.64%EV -6.08% E -1.87% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 15:49 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28% NM 47.62%EV -4.50% E -2.31% K -4.73% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.81%EV -13.71% E -3.52% K -4.73% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.57%EV -6.08% E -1.87% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 15:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.95I 51.28% NM 47.62%EV -4.50% E -2.31% K -4.73% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.81%EV -13.71% E -3.52% K -4.73% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.57%EV -6.08% E -1.87% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 15:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.95I 51.28% NM 47.62%EV -4.50% E -2.31% K -4.73% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.81%EV -13.71% E -3.52% K -4.73% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.57%EV -6.08% E -1.87% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 15:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.95I 51.28% NM 47.62%EV -4.50% E -2.31% K -4.73% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.81%EV -13.71% E -3.52% K -4.73% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.57%EV -6.08% E -1.87% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 15:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.95I 51.28% NM 47.62%EV -4.50% E -2.31% K -4.73% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.81%EV -13.71% E -3.52% K -4.73% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.57%EV -6.08% E -1.87% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 15:49 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28% NM 47.62%EV -4.50% E -2.31% K -4.73% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.81%EV -13.71% E -3.52% K -4.73% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.57%EV -6.08% E -1.87% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 15:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81% NM 47.37%EV -5.48% E -2.84% K -5.89% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.06%EV -15.93% E -4.19% K -5.69% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.57%EV -7.52% E -2.35% K -3.42% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-30 15:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92I 52.08% NM 49.28%EV -5.97% E -3.11% K -6.48% G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83% NM 21.60%EV -3.10% E -0.707% K -0.916% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 29.11%EV -6.08% E -1.87% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 12:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.92I 52.08% NM 48.83%EV -5.97% E -3.11% K -6.48% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.32%EV -7.08% E -1.69% K -2.21% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.85%EV -6.08% E -1.87% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-03 16:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08% NM 46.98%EV -5.97% E -3.11% K -6.48% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.38%EV -18.14% E -4.90% K -6.72% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.64%EV -8.97% E -2.85% K -4.17% G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-05 13:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36% NM 48.48%EV -6.46% E -3.38% K -7.09% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.58%EV -9.29% E -2.27% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.94%EV -7.52% E -2.35% K -3.42% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36% NM 48.21%EV -6.46% E -3.38% K -7.09% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.02%EV -11.50% E -2.88% K -3.83% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.77%EV -7.52% E -2.35% K -3.42% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-03 16:30 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36% NM 47.81%EV -6.46% E -3.38% K -7.09% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.74%EV -7.08% E -1.69% K -2.21% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.44%EV -13.30% E -4.43% K -6.65% G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-05 12:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36% NM 47.81%EV -6.46% E -3.38% K -7.09% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.74%EV -7.08% E -1.69% K -2.21% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.44%EV -13.30% E -4.43% K -6.65% G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-05 12:15 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36% NM 47.81%EV -6.46% E -3.38% K -7.09% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.74%EV -7.08% E -1.69% K -2.21% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.44%EV -13.30% E -4.43% K -6.65% G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-05 12:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36% NM 47.81%EV -6.46% E -3.38% K -7.09% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.74%EV -7.08% E -1.69% K -2.21% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.44%EV -13.30% E -4.43% K -6.65% G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-05 12:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63% NM 49.25%EV -6.95% E -3.66% K -7.72% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.82%EV -9.29% E -2.27% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 27.93%EV -3.19% E -0.951% K -1.36% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-03 19:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.90I 52.63% NM 49.00%EV -6.95% E -3.66% K -7.72% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.91%EV -5.97% E -1.41% K -1.84% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.09%EV -7.52% E -2.35% K -3.42% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 12:49 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63% NM 48.77%EV -6.95% E -3.66% K -7.72% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.81%EV -5.97% E -1.41% K -1.84% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 29.42%EV -8.97% E -2.85% K -4.17% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 13:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63% NM 48.77%EV -6.95% E -3.66% K -7.72% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.81%EV -5.97% E -1.41% K -1.84% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 29.42%EV -8.97% E -2.85% K -4.17% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63% NM 48.54%EV -6.95% E -3.66% K -7.72% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.70%EV -5.97% E -1.41% K -1.84% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.75%EV -10.41% E -3.36% K -4.96% G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-05 13:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.89I 52.91% NM 47.38%EV -7.44% E -3.93% K -8.35% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.20%EV -18.14% E -4.90% K -6.72% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.43%EV -8.97% E -2.85% K -4.17% G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-30 15:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.88I 53.19% NM 49.26%EV -7.92% E -4.22% K -9.01% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.79%EV -5.97% E -1.41% K -1.84% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.94%EV -7.52% E -2.35% K -3.42% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 12:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19% NM 49.16%EV -7.92% E -4.22% K -9.01% G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 21.49%EV -4.87% E -1.13% K -1.47% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 29.34%EV -8.97% E -2.85% K -4.17% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 12:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19% NM 49.16%EV -7.92% E -4.22% K -9.01% G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 21.49%EV -4.87% E -1.13% K -1.47% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 29.34%EV -8.97% E -2.85% K -4.17% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 12:15 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19% NM 49.04%EV -7.92% E -4.22% K -9.01% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.69%EV -5.97% E -1.41% K -1.84% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 29.27%EV -8.97% E -2.85% K -4.17% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-05 12:14 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19% NM 49.04%EV -7.92% E -4.22% K -9.01% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.69%EV -5.97% E -1.41% K -1.84% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 29.27%EV -8.97% E -2.85% K -4.17% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-05 12:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19% NM 48.65%EV -7.92% E -4.22% K -9.01% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.31%EV -9.29% E -2.27% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 29.04%EV -8.97% E -2.85% K -4.17% G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-05 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19% NM 47.29%EV -7.92% E -4.22% K -9.01% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.03%EV -18.14% E -4.90% K -6.72% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 28.68%EV -10.41% E -3.36% K -4.96% G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-30 15:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48% NM 49.16%EV -8.41% E -4.50% K -9.67% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.98%EV -11.50% E -2.88% K -3.83% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.86%EV -4.63% E -1.40% K -2.01% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 22:18 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.74%EV -8.41% E -4.50% K -9.67% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.78%EV -11.50% E -2.88% K -3.83% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.48%EV -7.52% E -2.35% K -3.42% G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48% NM 47.42%EV -8.41% E -4.50% K -9.67% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 23.97%EV -18.14% E -4.90% K -6.72% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 28.61%EV -10.41% E -3.36% K -4.96% G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-30 15:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.86I 53.76% NM 48.46%EV -8.90% E -4.79% K -10.35% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 21.98%EV -9.29% E -2.27% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 29.55%EV -11.86% E -3.89% K -5.78% G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-05 13:34 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05% NM 50.72%EV -9.39% E -5.08% K -11.05% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.85%EV -0.440% E -0.098% K -0.126% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 28.43%EV -4.63% E -1.40% K -2.01% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 13:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05% NM 49.43%EV -9.39% E -5.08% K -11.05% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.86%EV -11.50% E -2.88% K -3.83% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.71%EV -4.63% E -1.40% K -2.01% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05% NM 49.28%EV -9.39% E -5.08% K -11.05% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.23%EV -9.29% E -2.27% K -3.00% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.49%EV -7.52% E -2.35% K -3.42% G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-02 14:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05% NM 48.65%EV -9.39% E -5.08% K -11.05% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.50%EV -11.50% E -2.88% K -3.83% G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05% NM 28.85%EV -9.83% E -3.15% K -4.64% G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-05 12:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05% NM 47.32%EV -9.39% E -5.08% K -11.05% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 23.98%EV -19.25% E -5.27% K -7.26% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 28.70%EV -11.86% E -3.89% K -5.78% G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-06-30 15:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05% NM 47.32%EV -9.39% E -5.08% K -11.05% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 23.98%EV -19.25% E -5.27% K -7.26% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 28.70%EV -11.86% E -3.89% K -5.78% G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-06-30 15:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64% NM 48.83%EV -10.37% E -5.67% K -12.50% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.34%EV -11.50% E -2.88% K -3.83% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 28.83%EV -10.41% E -3.36% K -4.96% G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-03 16:30 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64% NM 48.55%EV -10.37% E -5.67% K -12.50% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 22.78%EV -13.71% E -3.52% K -4.73% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 28.66%EV -10.41% E -3.36% K -4.96% G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-02 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64% NM 48.55%EV -10.37% E -5.67% K -12.50% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 22.78%EV -13.71% E -3.52% K -4.73% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 28.66%EV -10.41% E -3.36% K -4.96% G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-02 14:14 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64% NM 48.55%EV -10.37% E -5.67% K -12.50% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 22.78%EV -13.71% E -3.52% K -4.73% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 28.66%EV -10.41% E -3.36% K -4.96% G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-02 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64% NM 48.55%EV -10.37% E -5.67% K -12.50% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 22.78%EV -13.71% E -3.52% K -4.73% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 28.66%EV -10.41% E -3.36% K -4.96% G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-02 14:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64% NM 46.69%EV -10.37% E -5.67% K -12.50% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 22.79%EV -17.03% E -4.54% K -6.19% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 30.52%EV -19.08% E -6.81% K -10.60% G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-07-02 06:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56% NM 49.25%EV -11.84% E -6.58% K -14.80% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.16%EV -11.50% E -2.88% K -3.83% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 28.59%EV -10.41% E -3.36% K -4.96% G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-04 01:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14% NM 51.66%EV -14.29% E -8.17% K -19.06% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.09%EV -0.440% E -0.098% K -0.126% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.25%EV -7.52% E -2.35% K -3.42% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-05 01:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Botafogo (Local) | Avai (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81% | 4.70I 21.28% | 3.40I 29.41% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 12:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08% | 4.70I 21.28% | 3.30I 30.30% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 12:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.93I 51.81% | 4.70I 21.28% | 3.25I 30.77% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.93I 51.81% | 4.70I 21.28% | 3.25I 30.77% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.93I 51.81% | 4.70I 21.28% | 3.25I 30.77% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 12:40 |