Oddsskolan

Botafogo v Avai

Matchstart: 2026-07-06 22:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Botafogo 3–1 Avai

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

46 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Botafogo (Hemma)

Prognos 54.01%1.85rättvist odds
EV -3.85%
Fördel -2.16%
Kelly -4.94%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.78

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.82%53.93%53.99%56.42%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.601.721.721.7862.50%58.18%58.14%56.18%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Avai (Borta)

Prognos 18.53%5.40rättvist odds
EV +0.272%
Fördel +0.050%
Kelly +0.062%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.41

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.03%18.67%18.57%20.67%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
4.254.814.785.4123.53%20.81%20.94%18.48%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.45%3.64rättvist odds
EV -3.65%
Fördel -1.04%
Kelly -1.45%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.51

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.55%27.40%27.44%28.41%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.203.343.303.5131.25%29.97%30.30%28.49%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (46 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.75%EV +0.272%E +0.050%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.36%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 21:50
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -1.77%E -0.333%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 21:30
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.07%EV -8.71%E -5.16%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -1.77%E -0.333%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 21:30
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.42%EV -13.58%E -8.49%K -22.63%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -1.77%E -0.333%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-06 21:15
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.01%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 17.87%EV -3.06%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.41%EV -9.69%E -2.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -3.62%E -0.696%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 21:55
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -3.62%E -0.696%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 21:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.13%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.08%EV -4.55%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:40
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.13%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.08%EV -4.55%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:40
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.23%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -4.55%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.76%EV -8.32%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 21:54
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -8.71%E -5.16%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -5.47%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 21:49
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -8.71%E -5.16%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -5.47%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 21:54
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.01%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 21:44
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -6.55%E -3.79%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 21:55
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -6.55%E -3.79%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 21:55
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 21:40
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 21:40
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -9.80%E -5.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-06 21:14
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.03%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.56%EV -8.25%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 21:44
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-06 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-06 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-06 20:15
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 53.24%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-06 21:55
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -9.80%E -5.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-06 21:48
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.59%EV -12.50%E -7.71%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-06 20:00
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 21:55
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 21:55
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 21:55
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 21:55
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 21:54
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 21:55
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 21:55
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.91%EV -6.01%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 20:05
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-06 21:55
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 20:10
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -6.55%E -3.79%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-06 20:05
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 21:55
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 21:54
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-06 21:45
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 52.30%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-06 21:55
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 52.25%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.42%EV -19.37%E -4.45%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-06 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.98%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.67%EV -20.30%E -4.72%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-06 21:55
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 52.20%EV -9.25%E -5.51%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -20.30%E -4.72%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-06 21:55
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 52.08%EV -9.25%E -5.51%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.59%EV -21.23%E -4.99%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.34%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-06 21:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 52.91%5.60I 17.86%NM 18.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 28.66%-3.1%2026-07-06 21:50
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.59%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-07-06 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-07-06 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-07-06 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-07-06 21:55