赔率学院

Botafogo v Avai

开赛时间: 2026-07-06 22:00 UTC

最终结果: Botafogo 3–1 Avai

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Botafogo (主队)

预测 54.01%1.85公平赔率
EV -3.85%
优势 -2.16%
Kelly -4.94%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.78

博彩公司预测分布
51.82%53.93%53.99%56.42%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.601.721.721.7862.50%58.18%58.14%56.18%MIN均值中位数MAX

Avai (客队)

预测 18.53%5.40公平赔率
EV +0.272%
优势 +0.050%
Kelly +0.062%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.41

博彩公司预测分布
17.03%18.67%18.57%20.67%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.254.814.785.4123.53%20.81%20.94%18.48%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 27.45%3.64公平赔率
EV -3.65%
优势 -1.04%
Kelly -1.45%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.51

博彩公司预测分布
26.55%27.40%27.44%28.41%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.203.343.303.5131.25%29.97%30.30%28.49%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.75%EV +0.272%E +0.050%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.36%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 21:50
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -1.77%E -0.333%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 21:30
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.07%EV -8.71%E -5.16%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -1.77%E -0.333%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 21:30
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.42%EV -13.58%E -8.49%K -22.63%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -1.77%E -0.333%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-06 21:15
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.01%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 17.87%EV -3.06%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.41%EV -9.69%E -2.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -3.62%E -0.696%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 21:55
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -3.62%E -0.696%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 21:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.13%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.08%EV -4.55%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:40
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.13%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.08%EV -4.55%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:40
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.23%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -4.55%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.76%EV -8.32%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 21:54
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -8.71%E -5.16%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -5.47%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 21:49
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -8.71%E -5.16%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -5.47%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 21:54
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.01%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 21:44
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -6.55%E -3.79%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 21:55
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -6.55%E -3.79%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 21:55
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 21:40
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 21:40
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -9.80%E -5.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-06 21:14
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.03%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.56%EV -8.25%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 21:44
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-06 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-06 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-06 20:15
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 53.24%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-06 21:55
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -9.80%E -5.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-06 21:48
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.59%EV -12.50%E -7.71%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-06 20:00
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 21:55
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 21:55
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 21:55
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 21:55
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 21:54
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 21:55
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 21:55
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.91%EV -6.01%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 20:05
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-06 21:55
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 20:10
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -6.55%E -3.79%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-06 20:05
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 21:55
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 21:54
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-06 21:45
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 52.30%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-06 21:55
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 52.25%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.42%EV -19.37%E -4.45%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-06 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.98%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.67%EV -20.30%E -4.72%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-06 21:55
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 52.20%EV -9.25%E -5.51%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -20.30%E -4.72%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-06 21:55
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 52.08%EV -9.25%E -5.51%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.59%EV -21.23%E -4.99%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.34%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-06 21:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 52.91%5.60I 17.86%NM 18.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 28.66%-3.1%2026-07-06 21:50
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.59%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-07-06 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-07-06 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-07-06 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-07-06 21:55