Die Schule der Quoten

Botafogo v Avai

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-06 22:00 UTC

Endstand: Botafogo 3–1 Avai

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Botafogo (Heim)

Prognose 54.01%1.85faire Quote
EV -3.85%
Vorteil -2.16%
Kelly -4.94%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.78

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.82%53.93%53.99%56.42%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.601.721.721.7862.50%58.18%58.14%56.18%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Avai (Auswärts)

Prognose 18.53%5.40faire Quote
EV +0.272%
Vorteil +0.050%
Kelly +0.062%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.41

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.03%18.67%18.57%20.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.254.814.785.4123.53%20.81%20.94%18.48%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.45%3.64faire Quote
EV -3.65%
Vorteil -1.04%
Kelly -1.45%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.51

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.55%27.40%27.44%28.41%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.203.343.303.5131.25%29.97%30.30%28.49%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.75%EV +0.272%E +0.050%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.36%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 21:50
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -1.77%E -0.333%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 21:30
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.07%EV -8.71%E -5.16%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -1.77%E -0.333%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 21:30
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.42%EV -13.58%E -8.49%K -22.63%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -1.77%E -0.333%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-06 21:15
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.01%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 17.87%EV -3.06%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.41%EV -9.69%E -2.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -3.62%E -0.696%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 21:55
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -3.62%E -0.696%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 21:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.13%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.08%EV -4.55%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:40
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.13%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.08%EV -4.55%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:40
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.23%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -4.55%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.76%EV -8.32%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 21:54
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -8.71%E -5.16%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -5.47%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 21:49
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -8.71%E -5.16%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -5.47%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 21:54
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.01%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 21:44
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -6.55%E -3.79%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 21:55
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -6.55%E -3.79%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 21:55
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 21:40
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 21:40
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -9.80%E -5.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-06 21:14
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.03%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.56%EV -8.25%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 21:44
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-06 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-06 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-06 20:15
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 53.24%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-06 21:55
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -9.80%E -5.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-06 21:48
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.59%EV -12.50%E -7.71%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-06 20:00
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 21:55
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 21:55
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 21:55
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 21:55
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 21:54
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 21:55
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 21:55
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.91%EV -6.01%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 20:05
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-06 21:55
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 20:10
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -6.55%E -3.79%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-06 20:05
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 21:55
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 21:54
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-06 21:45
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 52.30%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-06 21:55
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 52.25%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.42%EV -19.37%E -4.45%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-06 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.98%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.67%EV -20.30%E -4.72%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-06 21:55
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 52.20%EV -9.25%E -5.51%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -20.30%E -4.72%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-06 21:55
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 52.08%EV -9.25%E -5.51%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.59%EV -21.23%E -4.99%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.34%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-06 21:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 52.91%5.60I 17.86%NM 18.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 28.66%-3.1%2026-07-06 21:50
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.59%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-07-06 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-07-06 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-07-06 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-07-06 21:55