La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Botafogo v Avai
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Botafogo (Casa)
Previsione 54.01%1.85quota equa
EV -3.85%
Vantaggio -2.16%
Kelly -4.94%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.78
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.82%53.93%53.99%56.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.721.721.7862.50%58.18%58.14%56.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Avai (Trasferta)
Previsione 18.53%5.40quota equa
EV +0.272%
Vantaggio +0.050%
Kelly +0.062%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.41
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.03%18.67%18.57%20.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.254.814.785.4123.53%20.81%20.94%18.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 27.45%3.64quota equa
EV -3.65%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -1.45%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.51
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.55%27.40%27.44%28.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.343.303.5131.25%29.97%30.30%28.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.75%EV +0.272%E +0.050%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.36%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 21:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -1.77%E -0.333%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 21:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.07%EV -8.71%E -5.16%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -1.77%E -0.333%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-06 21:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.42%EV -13.58%E -8.49%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -1.77%E -0.333%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-06 21:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.01%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 17.87%EV -3.06%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.41%EV -9.69%E -2.94%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -3.62%E -0.696%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -3.62%E -0.696%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.13%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.08%EV -4.55%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 21:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.13%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.08%EV -4.55%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.23%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -4.55%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.76%EV -8.32%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-06 21:54 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -8.71%E -5.16%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -5.47%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-06 21:49 |
| BetUS | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -8.71%E -5.16%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -5.47%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-06 21:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.01%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 21:44 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 21:20 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -6.55%E -3.79%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -6.55%E -3.79%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-06 21:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-06 21:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -9.80%E -5.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-06 21:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.03%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.56%EV -8.25%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-06 21:44 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-06 20:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.24%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -9.80%E -5.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-06 21:48 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.59%EV -12.50%E -7.71%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-06 20:00 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| betPARX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.91%EV -6.01%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-06 20:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-06 20:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -6.55%E -3.79%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-06 20:05 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-06 21:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-06 21:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.30%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.25%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.42%EV -19.37%E -4.45%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.98%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.67%EV -20.30%E -4.72%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.20%EV -9.25%E -5.51%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -20.30%E -4.72%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.08%EV -9.25%E -5.51%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.59%EV -21.23%E -4.99%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.34%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-06 21:54 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 52.91% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 18.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 28.66% | -3.1% | 2026-07-06 21:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.59% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 0.5% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-07-06 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |