مدرسة الاحتمالاتBotafogo v Avai
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Botafogo (المضيف)
التنبؤ 54.01%1.85السعر العادل
EV -3.85%
الأفضلية -2.16%
Kelly -4.94%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.78
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.82%53.93%53.99%56.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.721.721.7862.50%58.18%58.14%56.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Avai (الضيف)
التنبؤ 18.53%5.40السعر العادل
EV +0.272%
الأفضلية +0.050%
Kelly +0.062%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.41
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.03%18.67%18.57%20.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.254.814.785.4123.53%20.81%20.94%18.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 27.45%3.64السعر العادل
EV -3.65%
الأفضلية -1.04%
Kelly -1.45%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.51
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.55%27.40%27.44%28.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.343.303.5131.25%29.97%30.30%28.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.75%EV +0.272%E +0.050%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.36%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 21:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -1.77%E -0.333%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 21:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.07%EV -8.71%E -5.16%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -1.77%E -0.333%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-06 21:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.42%EV -13.58%E -8.49%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -1.77%E -0.333%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-06 21:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.01%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 17.87%EV -3.06%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.41%EV -9.69%E -2.94%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -3.62%E -0.696%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -3.62%E -0.696%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.13%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.08%EV -4.55%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 21:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.13%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.08%EV -4.55%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.23%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -4.55%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.76%EV -8.32%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-06 21:54 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -8.71%E -5.16%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -5.47%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-06 21:49 |
| BetUS | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -8.71%E -5.16%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -5.47%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-06 21:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.01%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 21:44 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 21:20 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -6.55%E -3.79%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -6.55%E -3.79%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-06 21:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-06 21:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -9.80%E -5.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-06 21:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.03%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.56%EV -8.25%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-06 21:44 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-06 20:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.24%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -9.80%E -5.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-06 21:48 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.59%EV -12.50%E -7.71%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-06 20:00 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| betPARX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.91%EV -6.01%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-06 20:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-06 20:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -6.55%E -3.79%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-06 20:05 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-06 21:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-06 21:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.30%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.25%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.42%EV -19.37%E -4.45%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.98%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.67%EV -20.30%E -4.72%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.20%EV -9.25%E -5.51%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -20.30%E -4.72%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.08%EV -9.25%E -5.51%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.59%EV -21.23%E -4.99%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.34%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-06 21:54 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 52.91% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 18.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 28.66% | -3.1% | 2026-07-06 21:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.59% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 0.5% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-07-06 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |