Школа коэффициентов

Botafogo v Avai

Начало: 2026-07-06 22:00 UTC

Итог: Botafogo 3–1 Avai

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

46 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Botafogo (Хозяева)

Прогноз 54.01%1.85справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.85%
Преимущество -2.16%
Kelly -4.94%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.78

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.82%53.93%53.99%56.42%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.601.721.721.7862.50%58.18%58.14%56.18%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Avai (Гости)

Прогноз 18.53%5.40справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.272%
Преимущество +0.050%
Kelly +0.062%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.41

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.03%18.67%18.57%20.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.254.814.785.4123.53%20.81%20.94%18.48%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.45%3.64справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.65%
Преимущество -1.04%
Kelly -1.45%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.51

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.55%27.40%27.44%28.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.343.303.5131.25%29.97%30.30%28.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.75%EV +0.272%E +0.050%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.36%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 21:50
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -1.77%E -0.333%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 21:30
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.07%EV -8.71%E -5.16%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -1.77%E -0.333%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 21:30
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.42%EV -13.58%E -8.49%K -22.63%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -1.77%E -0.333%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-06 21:15
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.01%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 17.87%EV -3.06%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.41%EV -9.69%E -2.94%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -3.62%E -0.696%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 21:55
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -3.62%E -0.696%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 21:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.13%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.08%EV -4.55%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:40
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.13%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.08%EV -4.55%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:40
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.23%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -4.55%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.76%EV -8.32%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 21:54
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -8.71%E -5.16%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -5.47%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 21:49
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -8.71%E -5.16%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -5.47%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 21:54
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.01%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 21:44
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -6.55%E -3.79%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 21:55
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -6.55%E -3.79%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 21:55
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 21:40
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 21:40
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -9.80%E -5.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -7.33%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-06 21:14
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.03%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.56%EV -8.25%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 21:44
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-06 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-06 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-06 20:15
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 53.24%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-06 21:55
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -9.80%E -5.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-06 21:48
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.59%EV -12.50%E -7.71%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-06 20:00
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 21:55
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 21:55
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 21:55
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 21:55
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 21:54
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 21:55
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.30%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 21:55
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.91%EV -6.01%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 20:05
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-06 21:55
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 20:10
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -6.55%E -3.79%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-06 20:05
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 21:55
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 21:54
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -5.47%E -3.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-06 21:45
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 52.30%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-06 21:55
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 52.25%EV -8.17%E -4.81%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.42%EV -19.37%E -4.45%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-06 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.98%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.67%EV -20.30%E -4.72%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-06 21:55
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 52.20%EV -9.25%E -5.51%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -20.30%E -4.72%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-06 21:55
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 52.08%EV -9.25%E -5.51%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.59%EV -21.23%E -4.99%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.34%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-06 21:54
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 52.91%5.60I 17.86%NM 18.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 28.66%-3.1%2026-07-06 21:50
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.59%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-07-06 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-07-06 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-07-06 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-07-06 21:55