语言:简体中文
Athletic Club (MG) v Juventude
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Athletic Club (MG) (主队)
预测 35.95%2.78公平赔率
EV -4.73%
优势 -1.78%
Kelly -2.87%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.65
博彩公司预测分布
34.04%35.97%35.92%37.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.64%40.00%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
Juventude (客队)
预测 31.90%3.13公平赔率
EV -1.10%
优势 -0.356%
Kelly -0.525%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
30.22%31.81%31.97%32.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.932.953.1037.04%34.08%33.90%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 32.15%3.11公平赔率
EV -3.56%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -1.78%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.00
博彩公司预测分布
30.57%32.22%32.11%35.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.842.853.0039.22%35.18%35.09%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Athletic Club (MG) (主队)：35.95%；Juventude (客队)：31.90%；平局：32.15%。 对于“Juventude (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.13。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.10，期望值为-1.10%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.33%EV -2.06%E -0.671%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.38%EV -4.53%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -18.03%E -7.07%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 05:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 18:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.24%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.24%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 18:26 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 18:32 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-17 06:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 06:06 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 17:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -13.86%E -5.13%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -16.42%E -6.32%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-17 18:41 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 18:56 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 17:26 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -12.64%E -5.20%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 18:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 18:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.95% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.27% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.85% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96% | 1.8% | 2026-05-17 18:55 |