Szkoła Kursów

Athletic Club (MG) v Juventude

Początek: 2026-05-17 19:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Athletic Club (MG) 1–1 Juventude

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

45 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Athletic Club (MG) (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 35.95%2.78kurs godziwy
EV -4.73%
Przewaga -1.78%
Kelly -2.87%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.04%35.97%35.92%37.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.64%40.00%37.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Juventude (Goście)

Prognoza 31.90%3.13kurs godziwy
EV -1.10%
Przewaga -0.356%
Kelly -0.525%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.22%31.81%31.97%32.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.702.932.953.1037.04%34.08%33.90%32.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 32.15%3.11kurs godziwy
EV -3.56%
Przewaga -1.19%
Kelly -1.78%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.57%32.22%32.11%35.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.552.842.853.0039.22%35.18%35.09%33.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (45 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.33%EV -2.06%E -0.671%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.38%EV -4.53%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 18:55
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 18:45
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -18.03%E -7.07%K -11.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 05:10
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:39
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:40
BetUS2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:40
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 18:40
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 18:30
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 17:24
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:40
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 18:25
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.24%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 18:25
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.24%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 18:26
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 18:32
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 17:25
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 18:25
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:45
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 06:05
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 17:25
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:30
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:35
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:35
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 06:06
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 18:40
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 17:26
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -13.86%E -5.13%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -16.42%E -6.32%K -10.26%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-17 18:41
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 18:45
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 18:56
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:25
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:26
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:25
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -12.64%E -5.20%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 18:35
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 18:45
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 18:45
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 18:45
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%1.3%2026-05-17 18:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%1.3%2026-05-17 18:56
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%1.3%2026-05-17 18:50
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.27%1.5%2026-05-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.85%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%1.8%2026-05-17 18:55