مدرسة الاحتمالات

Athletic Club (MG) v Juventude

البداية: 2026-05-17 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Athletic Club (MG) 1–1 Juventude

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Athletic Club (MG) (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.95%2.78السعر العادل
EV -4.73%
الأفضلية -1.78%
Kelly -2.87%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.04%35.97%35.92%37.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.64%40.00%37.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Juventude (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.90%3.13السعر العادل
EV -1.10%
الأفضلية -0.356%
Kelly -0.525%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.22%31.81%31.97%32.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.932.953.1037.04%34.08%33.90%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 32.15%3.11السعر العادل
EV -3.56%
الأفضلية -1.19%
Kelly -1.78%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.57%32.22%32.11%35.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.552.842.853.0039.22%35.18%35.09%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.33%EV -2.06%E -0.671%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.38%EV -4.53%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 18:55
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 18:45
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -18.03%E -7.07%K -11.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 05:10
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:39
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:40
BetUS2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:40
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 18:40
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 18:30
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 17:24
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:40
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 18:25
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.24%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 18:25
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.24%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 18:26
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 18:32
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 17:25
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 18:25
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:45
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 06:05
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 17:25
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:30
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:35
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:35
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 06:06
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 18:40
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 17:26
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -13.86%E -5.13%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -16.42%E -6.32%K -10.26%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-17 18:41
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 18:45
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 18:56
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:25
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:26
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:25
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -12.64%E -5.20%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 18:35
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 18:45
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 18:45
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 18:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%1.3%2026-05-17 18:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%1.3%2026-05-17 18:56
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%1.3%2026-05-17 18:50
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.27%1.5%2026-05-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.85%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%1.8%2026-05-17 18:55