L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Athletic Club (MG) v Juventude
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Prévision 35.95%2.78cote équitable
EV -4.73%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -2.87%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.04%35.97%35.92%37.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.64%40.00%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Juventude (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.90%3.13cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.356%
Kelly -0.525%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.22%31.81%31.97%32.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.932.953.1037.04%34.08%33.90%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 32.15%3.11cote équitable
EV -3.56%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -1.78%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.57%32.22%32.11%35.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.842.853.0039.22%35.18%35.09%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.33%EV -2.06%E -0.671%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.38%EV -4.53%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 18:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -18.03%E -7.07%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 05:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 18:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| BetUS | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 18:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 17:24 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 18:25 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.24%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 18:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.24%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 18:26 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 18:32 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-17 06:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 06:06 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 17:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -13.86%E -5.13%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -16.42%E -6.32%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-17 18:41 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 18:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 18:56 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 17:26 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -12.64%E -5.20%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 18:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 18:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 18:56 |
| Matchbook | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 18:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.95% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.27% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.85% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96% | 1.8% | 2026-05-17 18:55 |