La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Athletic Club (MG) v Juventude
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Predicción 35.95%2.78momio equitativo
EV -4.73%
Ventaja -1.78%
Kelly -2.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.04%35.97%35.92%37.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.64%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Juventude (Visitante)
Predicción 31.90%3.13momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.356%
Kelly -0.525%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.22%31.81%31.97%32.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.932.953.1037.04%34.08%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 32.15%3.11momio equitativo
EV -3.56%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.57%32.22%32.11%35.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.842.853.0039.22%35.18%35.09%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.33%EV -2.06%E -0.671%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.38%EV -4.53%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 18:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -18.03%E -7.07%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 05:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 18:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| BetUS | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 18:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 17:24 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 18:25 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.24%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 18:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.24%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 18:26 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 18:32 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-17 06:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 06:06 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 17:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -13.86%E -5.13%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -16.42%E -6.32%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-17 18:41 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 18:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 18:56 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 17:26 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -12.64%E -5.20%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 18:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 18:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 18:56 |
| Matchbook | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 18:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.95% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.27% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.85% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96% | 1.8% | 2026-05-17 18:55 |