Школа коэффициентов

Athletic Club (MG) v Juventude

Начало: 2026-05-17 19:00 UTC

Итог: Athletic Club (MG) 1–1 Juventude

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

45 букмекерских контор (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Athletic Club (MG) (Хозяева)

Прогноз 35.95%2.78справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.73%
Преимущество -1.78%
Kelly -2.87%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.65

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
34.04%35.97%35.92%37.47%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.64%40.00%37.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Juventude (Гости)

Прогноз 31.90%3.13справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.10%
Преимущество -0.356%
Kelly -0.525%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.22%31.81%31.97%32.83%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.702.932.953.1037.04%34.08%33.90%32.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 32.15%3.11справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.56%
Преимущество -1.19%
Kelly -1.78%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.57%32.22%32.11%35.38%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.552.842.853.0039.22%35.18%35.09%33.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (45 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.33%EV -2.06%E -0.671%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.38%EV -4.53%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 18:55
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 18:45
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -18.03%E -7.07%K -11.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 05:10
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:39
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:40
BetUS2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:40
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 18:40
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 18:30
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 17:24
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:40
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 18:25
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.24%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 18:25
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.24%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 18:26
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 18:32
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 17:25
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 18:25
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:45
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 06:05
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 17:25
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:30
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:35
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:35
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 06:06
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 18:40
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 17:26
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -13.86%E -5.13%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -16.42%E -6.32%K -10.26%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-17 18:41
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 18:45
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 18:56
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:25
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:26
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:25
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -12.64%E -5.20%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 18:35
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 18:45
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 18:45
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 18:45
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%1.3%2026-05-17 18:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%1.3%2026-05-17 18:56
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%1.3%2026-05-17 18:50
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.27%1.5%2026-05-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.85%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%1.8%2026-05-17 18:55