StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Athletic Club (MG) v Juventude

Matchstart: 2026-05-17 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Athletic Club (MG) 1–1 Juventude

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Athletic Club (MG) (Hemma)

Prognos 35.95%2.78rättvist odds
EV -4.73%
Fördel -1.78%
Kelly -2.87%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.04%35.97%35.92%37.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.64%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Juventude (Borta)

Prognos 31.90%3.13rättvist odds
EV -1.10%
Fördel -0.356%
Kelly -0.525%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.22%31.81%31.97%32.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.932.953.1037.04%34.08%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 32.15%3.11rättvist odds
EV -3.56%
Fördel -1.19%
Kelly -1.78%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.57%32.22%32.11%35.38%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.552.842.853.0039.22%35.18%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Athletic Club (MG) (Hemma): 35.95%; Juventude (Borta): 31.90%; Oavgjort: 32.15%. För Juventude (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.13. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.10, med väntevärdet -1.10%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.33%EV -2.06%E -0.671%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.38%EV -4.53%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 18:55
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -18.03%E -7.07%K -11.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 05:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:40
BetUS🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 18:40
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 18:30
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 17:24
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 18:25
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.24%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 18:25
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.24%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 18:26
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 18:32
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 17:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 06:05
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 17:25
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:35
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:35
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:35
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 06:06
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 18:40
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 17:26
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -13.86%E -5.13%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -16.42%E -6.32%K -10.26%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-17 18:41
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 18:45
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 18:56
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:25
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:26
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:25
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -12.64%E -5.20%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 18:45
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 18:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%1.3%2026-05-17 18:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%1.3%2026-05-17 18:56
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%1.3%2026-05-17 18:50
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.27%1.5%2026-05-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.85%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%1.8%2026-05-17 18:55