La scuola delle quote

Athletic Club (MG) v Juventude

Inizio: 2026-05-17 19:00 UTC

Finale: Athletic Club (MG) 1–1 Juventude

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

45 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Athletic Club (MG) (Casa)

Previsione 35.95%2.78quota equa
EV -4.73%
Vantaggio -1.78%
Kelly -2.87%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.04%35.97%35.92%37.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.64%40.00%37.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Juventude (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.90%3.13quota equa
EV -1.10%
Vantaggio -0.356%
Kelly -0.525%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.22%31.81%31.97%32.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.932.953.1037.04%34.08%33.90%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 32.15%3.11quota equa
EV -3.56%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.57%32.22%32.11%35.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.842.853.0039.22%35.18%35.09%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.33%EV -2.06%E -0.671%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.38%EV -4.53%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 18:55
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 18:45
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -18.03%E -7.07%K -11.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 05:10
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:39
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:40
BetUS2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -5.09%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:40
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 18:40
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 18:30
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 17:24
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:40
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 18:25
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.24%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 18:25
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -7.24%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 18:26
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 18:32
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 17:25
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 18:25
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:45
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.10%E -0.356%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 18:35
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 06:05
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 17:25
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:30
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:35
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.48%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:35
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.42%E -2.58%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 06:06
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -13.21%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 18:40
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.60%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 17:26
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -13.86%E -5.13%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -16.42%E -6.32%K -10.26%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-17 18:41
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 18:45
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 18:56
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:25
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:26
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.92%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.67%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:25
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -12.64%E -5.20%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 18:35
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 18:45
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 18:45
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -13.72%E -5.71%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 18:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%1.3%2026-05-17 18:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%1.3%2026-05-17 18:56
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%1.3%2026-05-17 18:50
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.27%1.5%2026-05-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.85%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%1.8%2026-05-17 18:55