Language:English
River Plate v Velez Sarsfield BA
Head to Head
River Plate (Local)
Prediction 53.72%1.86fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -5.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.96%53.81%53.72%54.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.691.691.7862.50%59.17%59.17%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Velez Sarsfield BA (Visit)
Prediction 18.17%5.50fair odd
EV -4.63%
Edge -0.882%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.73%18.17%18.17%20.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.904.925.2523.09%20.40%20.30%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.12%3.56fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -0.870%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.14%28.02%28.12%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.033.243.263.4533.00%30.89%30.63%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: River Plate (Local): 53.72%; Velez Sarsfield BA (Visit): 18.17%; Draw: 28.12%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.45, with an expected value of -3.00%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.31%EV -4.38%E -2.46%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.28%EV -5.72%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.41%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 00:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.83%EV -4.92%E -2.78%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -4.63%E -0.882%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.29%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -7.36%E -1.44%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -7.78%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.13%EV -7.07%E -4.08%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -3.00%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 22:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -8.14%E -4.76%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.17%E -1.83%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 22:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.14%E -4.76%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -5.54%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -10.29%E -6.16%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -13.71%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 22:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.96%EV -10.29%E -6.16%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.04%EV -21.34%E -4.93%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-09 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.49%EV -11.90%E -7.26%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.66%EV -14.62%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -11.44%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.46%EV -12.44%E -7.63%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.97%EV -11.90%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.57%EV -14.25%E -4.67%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.34%EV -12.97%E -8.01%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.79%EV -16.44%E -3.57%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.82%EV -14.05%E -8.78%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.76%EV -11.90%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 28.42%EV -14.81%E -4.89%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.