Idioma:Português
River Plate v Velez Sarsfield BA
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
River Plate (Local)
Previsão 57.27%1.75odd justa
EV -3.22%
Vantagem -1.91%
Kelly -4.67%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.44%57.25%57.31%58.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.621.621.6966.67%61.87%61.73%59.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Velez Sarsfield BA (Visitante)
Previsão 15.47%6.46odd justa
EV +3.05%
Vantagem +0.457%
Kelly +0.538%
Crescimento +0.016%
pressupondo odds máximas de 6.66
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.41%15.46%15.47%16.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.405.966.006.6618.52%16.77%16.67%15.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Previsão 27.26%3.67odd justa
EV -2.95%
Vantagem -0.829%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.56
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.92%27.29%27.21%28.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.403.403.5632.26%29.42%29.41%28.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: River Plate (Local): 57.27%; Velez Sarsfield BA (Visitante): 15.47%; Empate: 27.26%. Para Velez Sarsfield BA (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.46. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.66, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.05%.
Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.22%E -1.91%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.66I 15.02%NM 14.41%EV +3.05%E +0.457%K +0.538%G +0.016% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.82%EV -9.22%E -2.77%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.46%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.56I 15.24%NM 14.72%EV +1.50%E +0.229%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.82%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-23 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -2.95%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -2.95%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -2.95%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.50%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.81%EV -0.976%E -0.153%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.22%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -6.66%E -4.08%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -3.30%E -0.528%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -6.66%E -4.08%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -4.84%E -0.788%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.86%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.26%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 21:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 21:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -7.80%E -4.85%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -7.80%E -4.85%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 21:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.79%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 21:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -10.09%E -6.43%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 22:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -10.09%E -6.43%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%EV -8.71%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%EV -8.71%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 21:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.59%EV -11.24%E -7.25%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.12%EV -10.26%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -15.49%E -5.00%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.37%EV -14.10%E -9.40%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.10%EV -10.26%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 21:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 21:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -9.52%E -6.02%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.16%EV -10.66%E -6.84%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.92%EV -11.81%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.87%EV -11.81%E -7.67%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -13.35%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.44%EV -7.80%E -4.85%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -14.13%E -4.48%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 22:07 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.70%EV -10.66%E -6.84%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.08%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.70%EV -10.66%E -6.84%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.08%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.69%EV -11.24%E -7.25%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -16.45%E -3.05%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-23 22:10 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.50% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.50% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.50% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.53% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.57% | 1.7% | 2026-08-23 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.91% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.67% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.41% | 2.2% | 2026-08-23 22:05 |