语言:简体中文
River Plate v Velez Sarsfield BA
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
River Plate (主队)
预测 57.27%1.75公平赔率
EV -3.22%
优势 -1.91%
Kelly -4.67%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.69
博彩公司预测分布
55.44%57.25%57.31%58.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.621.621.6966.67%61.87%61.73%59.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
Velez Sarsfield BA (客队)
预测 15.47%6.46公平赔率
EV +3.05%
优势 +0.457%
Kelly +0.538%
增长率 +0.016%
假设最高赔率为 6.66
博彩公司预测分布
14.41%15.46%15.47%16.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.405.966.006.6618.52%16.77%16.67%15.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.26%3.67公平赔率
EV -2.95%
优势 -0.829%
Kelly -1.15%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.56
博彩公司预测分布
25.92%27.29%27.21%28.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.403.403.5632.26%29.42%29.41%28.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：River Plate (主队)：57.27%；Velez Sarsfield BA (客队)：15.47%；平局：27.26%。 对于“Velez Sarsfield BA (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.46。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.66，对应+3.05%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.22%E -1.91%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.66I 15.02%NM 14.41%EV +3.05%E +0.457%K +0.538%G +0.016% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.82%EV -9.22%E -2.77%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.46%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.56I 15.24%NM 14.72%EV +1.50%E +0.229%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.82%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-23 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -2.95%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -2.95%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -2.95%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +0.571%E +0.088%K +0.104%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.50%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.81%EV -0.976%E -0.153%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.22%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -6.66%E -4.08%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -3.30%E -0.528%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -6.66%E -4.08%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -4.84%E -0.788%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.86%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.26%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 21:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.41%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 21:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -7.80%E -4.85%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -7.80%E -4.85%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 21:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.79%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 21:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -10.09%E -6.43%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 22:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -10.09%E -6.43%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -7.17%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%EV -8.71%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%EV -8.71%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 21:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.59%EV -11.24%E -7.25%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.12%EV -10.26%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -15.49%E -5.00%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.37%EV -14.10%E -9.40%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.10%EV -10.26%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.04%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -5.95%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 21:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 21:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -9.52%E -6.02%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -11.03%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.16%EV -10.66%E -6.84%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.92%EV -11.81%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.87%EV -11.81%E -7.67%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -13.35%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -7.31%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.44%EV -7.80%E -4.85%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -14.13%E -4.48%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 22:07 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.70%EV -10.66%E -6.84%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.08%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.70%EV -10.66%E -6.84%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.08%EV -14.90%E -2.71%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 22:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.69%EV -11.24%E -7.25%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -16.45%E -3.05%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.40%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-23 22:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.50% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.50% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.50% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.53% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.57% | 1.7% | 2026-08-23 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.91% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.67% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.41% | 2.2% | 2026-08-23 22:05 |